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Braves at Cubs Series Preview: D-Lee Switches Dugouts

The Braves took two of three from the Nationals and now travel up to Chicago and meet up with their new first basemen, and former Cub, Derrek Lee. Lee is batting cleanup in his first game as a Brave with Martin Prado remaining in the third spot of the lineup. As if playing his former team in his first game isn't odd enough, Lee will bat against Ryan Dempster, who has been his teammate for 12 of the past 13 seasons.

Pitching Matchups:

Friday, 2:20 EST: Jair Jurrjens (5-4, 3.92 ERA, 3.83 FIP, 2.14 K/BB) vs. Ryan Dempster (11-8, 3.62 ERA, 4.21 FIP, 2.32 K/BB)

Since returning from the disabled list on June 30, Jurrjens has a 2.91 ERA and 45 strikeouts to 17 walks in 58.2 innings. This has been some of the best pitching that we have seen from Jurrjens in his Atlanta tenure. In Jair's last two starts he has gone 14.1 innings and has allowed just two earned runs, walked two, and struck out ten. Dempster has been solid again this season and is one of the Cubs top pitchers. This afternoon's game features the likely best pitching matchup.

Saturday, 4:10 EST: Tommy Hanson (8-8, 3.41 ERA, 3.08 FIP, 3.19 K/BB) vs. Tom Gorzelanny (6-7, 3.85 ERA, 3.60 FIP, 1.87 K/BB)

Tommy Hanson has been an absolute animal since the start of July, posting a 1.71 ERA, 47 strikeouts, 12 walks, and... one win over nine starts. Obviously, Hanson has gotten no run support and has been plagued by poor defense. The Braves have won the past two times he has started, so hopefully Hanson can get the credit if he pitches well on Saturday. Gorzelanny is a tough lefty and they usually give the Braves problems. He has pitched well for the Cubs this season and they will need to bring the bats on Saturday in order to put Hanson in the winning column for the first time in nine starts.

Star-divide

Sunday, 2:20 EST: Mike Minor (1-0, 3.75 ERA, 2.42 FIP, 3.33 K/BB) vs. Randy Wells (5-11, 4.44 ERA, 3.80 FIP, 2.50 K/BB)

Mike Minor earned his first Major League win in his last start and has impressed in his short tenure in Atlanta. Minor has 10 strikeouts and three walks in his first 12 innings with the big club and has thrown consecutive quality starts. The rookie's mound presence and confidence seem to be his most impressive assets as he has begun his career pitching down the stretch run for a potential playoff team. Wells has seemingly thrown the ball better in his second season than in his rookie season, but is getting extremely unlucky compared to last year when he was one of the luckier pitchers in baseball. His BABIP if .329 points to hits landing more frequently than expected and he is a tougher pitcher than his record or ERA would indicate.

Cub's lineup:

The Cubs have some solid hitters as they have a mix of veterans and youngsters. Alfonso Soriano is a noted Braves killer -- his OPS of 1.083 against the Braves is his highest against any opponent. Rookies Starlin Castro and Tyler Colvin have impressed this season with Castro having an average over .300 and Colvin providing the power with a .260 ISO. 

Cub's bullpen:

Carlos Marmol has been impressive yet again, striking out 16.17 batters per nine innings. Other than Marmol, the bullpen is shaky at best. Most of the relievers have FIPs substantially higher than 4.00 and getting to their bullpen should be a goal in this series. If the Braves are able to work the count as they so often do, they should see some poor middle relief arms to score on.

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Comments

Go Braves! Sweep them Cubbies.

I’m going to wager that the Braves win this particular grouping of athletic contests.

that’s an interesting way of putting it, but I agree

I tweeted this to Mark Simon of the ESPN TMI blog and got a response.
D Lee makes his #Braves debut vs his old #Cubs team tonight. How many times has a traded player debuted against his former team?

- me

Oof. Very hard one. Most famous example: Willie Mays, in first game as a Met, played vs Giants (and homered vs them!)

- @msimonespn

Let’s hope history repeats itself tonight. Go Braves!

Greg Maddux debuted as a Brave against the Cubs, although it wasn’t a trade.

On Opening Day. And pitched a gem, IIRC. Sigh.

At Wrigley Field to boot.

8.1 IP, 5 hits, 0 runs, 3 walks, 4 strikeouts

Braves win, 1-0.

Terrible numbers for a guy like Maddux. Joking.

Oh how i miss Maddux!
/looks up at memory bubble like in tv shows

Maddux was one of the few guys in my memory who made pitching look really, really easy

Plus he did it through the Steroid Era. Can you imagine him now in his prime during the year of the pitcher. He would have had an ERA under 1.

yeah he would have been scary good

Mark’s a good man, a personal acquaintance. He knows a ton of Mets history too, respects the rivalry we have with them.

At the very least he can provide us with some fresh in-depth scouting reports of his former teammates

I can just picture Lee walking into the wrong clubhouse. “Um, hey guys how’s it going? This is kinda awkward….”

you should check out DOB tweets. He said that the parking lot people at Wrigley pulled a joke on Lee saying that he couldn’t park at his usual spot anymore.

Yeah I saw that. Funny! :)

I hope the cubs fans boo the hell out of him so he gets angry, and you won’t like him when he’s angry.

Also a noted Braves killer: Derrek Lee

In 93 career PAs against current Braves pitchers: 1.023 OPS

Glad he’ll be in the other dugout tonight.

and a .308 hitter at Wrigley Field.

yeah, you have to figure there is a dejected feeling in the Cubs dugout right now. Seeing D-Lee in a Braves uni.

I should point out

that about a little over a third of those PAs are against Lowe and another third split between Huddy and Farnz, with Farnz being the only of those three he would have potentially faced this weekend.

Hanson in August

Four Starts: Record 0-1 with an ERA 0.95.

The Kawakami curse in spawning itself inside Hanson it seems…

like a computer virus!!

perhaps Hanson needs an exorcism to get rid of the curse once and for all

or Norton Anti-virus.

or AVG, that way we won’t have to spend valuable payroll $

Brian McCann against those three pitchers: 1 for 26. OUCH

David Ross, meanwhile, is 4 for 8 against Dempster and Gorzelanny and is 3 for 3 against Marmol with 2 HR.

and that is why he’s the best backup catcher in baseball. So glad we signed him to an extension. I was convinced he would go elsewhere next season in a starting role.

Mac is due

but I’d sure like to see some DRoss this weekend, also.

I expect he will start on Saturday.

Good news

this is.

A road series win against good pitching would be big

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