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Talking Chop

Braves vs. Nationals - Series Preview

So there really isn't anything new with the Nationals. They continue to be bad, and have lost 7 out of 10. They foolishly didn't trade Dunn nor Willingham at the trade deadline, even though they could've gotten a boatload of young talent for either guy. They did trade away Matt Capps, but he was over-performing anyways. Wilson Ramos could be good in a few seasons, but he doesn't really play as of right now.

Oh, and they still have Rob Dibble. Damn.

There are quite a few big stories for the Braves during the serious though. On Tuesday, Mike Minor will make his 2nd start of his big league career. In case you missed his debut, don't let the numbers fool you for one second. Minor looked very good and composed on the mound, and the Astros just got ridiculously lucky with four bloop hits. To be honest, they only hit one ball hard the entire night. I know I'm really looking forward to seeing Mike make another start.

Another big story is the return of Martin Prado. Now it's not official, but reports have Martin ready to come off the DL as early as Tuesday. He went 1-for-4 in his rehab assignment on Monday, and I'm guessing he'll be playing 3rd base when he returns.*

*This is assuming Frank Wren doesn't turn Braves Country into a frenzy with the acquisition of an over-paid veteran like Aramis Ramirez. If this really happens, well, maybe Frank Wren isn't the man to lead this franchise.

Anyways, let's get onto the Nats stats:

Offense:

Runs: 477 (14th)
BA: .255 (11th)
OBP: .321 (13th)
SLG: .400 (10th)
HR: 112 (9th)
SB: 88 (3rd)
BB/K:
0.41 (12th)

You know the Nats. Ryan Zimmerman, Adam Dunn and Josh Willingham are all very good. Nyjer Morgan is fast, but that's about it. Ian Desmond kills the Braves. Pudge is a solid catcher, but has fallen off since the 1st half. And they don't have much besides that. With the way our starters have been pitching, I'm not really too worried about the series.

Much more after the jump...

Star-divide

Starting Pitching:

ERA: 4.50 (14th)
FIP: 4.29 (12th)
xFIP: 4.49 (14th)
BAA: .282 (15th)
K/9: 5.56 (15th)
BB/9: 3.06 (5th)
WHIP:
1.45 (14th)

So yeah, they're still not very good and the Braves will miss Strasburg in the series. The Braves will see Scott Olsen in game 1, and it seems like he always dominates us. The truth is that Olsen really isn't all that great, and something has to give eventually. The ageless Livan Hernandez will pitch in the 2nd game and he's been pretty good this season. John Lannan will pitch in the finale, and he'll tear the Braves up...if we're not patient. That shouldn't be a problem though, and I think the Braves match up favorably in every game.

Relief Pitching:

ERA: 3.58 (4th); 
FIP: 3.80 (5th)
xFIP: 4.18 (5th)
BAA: .246 (4th)
K/9: 8.17 (7th)
BB/9: 3.71 (5th)
WHIP:
1.33 (5th)

Now keep in mind that Matt Capps' numbers are inflating these stats a bit, but the Nats have still been a very solid bunch coming out of the bullpen. Tyler Clippard, Sean Burnett and closer Drew Storen are all very good and will anchor the bullpen for at least a few seasons. Guys like Joel Peralta and LOOGY Doug Slaten have also been solid for the Nats, and we all saw long-man Miguel Batista dominate the Braves in his spot-start against us a few weeks ago. After having the worst 'pen in the league for a while, you really have to tip your cap to the Nationals for putting together a strong bullpen. It should be good for quite a while.

Pitching Match-Ups:

Tuesday, 7:10EST.

W-L G GS CG SHO SV BS IP H R ER HR BB K ERA WHIP
2010 - Scott Olsen 3-4 11 11 0 0 0 0 56.1 65 34 32 7 19 37 5.11 1.49
W-L G GS CG SHO SV BS IP H R ER HR BB K ERA WHIP
2010 - Mike Minor 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 6.0 5 4 3 0 1 5 4.50 1.00

Wednesday, 7:10EST.

W-L G GS CG SHO SV BS IP H R ER HR BB K ERA WHIP
2010 - Livan Hernandez 8-8 26 24 2 1 0 0 157.2 149 57 54 10 48 83 3.08 1.25
W-L G GS CG SHO SV BS IP H R ER HR BB K ERA WHIP
2010 - Tim Hudson 14-5 25 24 1 0 0 0 164.2 123 40 39 10 54 89 2.13 1.07


Thursday, 1:05EST.

W-L G GS CG SHO SV BS IP H R ER HR BB K ERA WHIP
2010 - John Lannan 4-5 17 17 0 0 0 0 93.0 120 61 54 8 39 34 5.23 1.71
W-L G GS CG SHO SV BS IP H R ER HR BB K ERA WHIP
2010 - Derek Lowe 11-10 26 25 0 0 0 0 147.0 155 72 70 13 53 93 4.29 1.41


In my opinion, this is a must-win series for the Braves, and a sweep certainly isn't out of the question. We'll be getting a big boost with the return of Martin Prado, and the Braves have ben un-real at home. We're a very good team, and the Nationals aren't. Combine this with the Phillies having a very tough series against the Giants, and we could really use these next few days to put some room between us and Philly.

0 recs  |  45 comments

Comments

With the way our starters have been pitching, I'm not really too worried about the series.

Why did you have to go say that? We have underperformed terribly against the Nats this year.

I like the SP but...

The Braves have struggle to handle the nationals this year with a 4-5 record….But a series win would be great though

This year?

Or you mean since they moved to DC?

Hell, the Expos were a thorn in the side of the Braves even during the run in the 90s…

legit

Hey I like BU just because Nick Bonino, a Ducks prospect scored the tying goal and assisted on the winning goal. LOL…. BTW I still want Wren to get Willingham at the waiver deadline… That man is a monster

Nick’s a monster… I remember last… wait it was two years ago now, when he got traded to the ducks. He didn’t assist on the GWG (if we’re talking about the 2009 championship) though, Shattenkirk and Connolly did. Nick had another dominant year in 2009 – 2010… he should be with the Ducks on an NHL level sometime 2010 – 2011

U follow the Ducks? lol

I dunno… We got Peter Holland another good center. I see Nick more as a third-line grinder who can pot 15-20 goals per year

That sounds rights to me… I’m not saying he’s going to be a top six guy, but he’ll move up the organization quickly…

I don’t follow the ducks I just really really really really follow BU hockey.

BC is bettah.

Just kidding.
 
Or am I?

Well.... erm....

Depends on what time period you look at?

KNOCK ON SO MUCH WOOD

FIND ALL THE WOOD AND KNOCK ON IT RIGHT NOW!!!

Yeah Braves!

Let’s keep it going against these pesky GNats! They always give us a handful of trouble, but I am feeling pretty good about our team these days! Last night was a heart attack but I’ll take those wins too!

I love the Braves, and we are in 1st place so would the negative people please just SHUT UP about the job Frank Wren is doing! We are in 1st place people! ENJOY IT!!! Sorry, just get tired of hearing about the potential horrible moves he may or may not make. If 1st place is the result of those moves then I am satisfied with his job performance. GO BRAVES!

too bad Strasburg isn't facing Minor

Minor would easily win

From my perspective, as “unlucky” Minor was against the Astros with the bloops, he was just as “lucky” to have several hard hit “at ’em” balls go his way. He was playing with fire up in the zone alot and I think all the luck involved pretty much evened out and he ended up with a fairly representative performance of his stuff. The Nats are a better hitting squad and will make it harder on him than the bleeping/ blooping ’Stros. Would not be surprised at a “setback” for Minor tonight. Was impressed from a rookie making his first start standpoint, but not enough to give him credit that he was ONLY unlucky.

LOOGY?

Can someone educate my ass…

Lefty One-Out GuY

I know – a stretch for an acroynym

I gotcha...

Thanks for that…I never would have figured it out on my own…

I would say sweep fo sho, but this is the Expos.

My sentiments exactly. The Expos/Nats franchise has always seemed to play the Braves tough. Same with the Marlins. The respective teams’ records, and the location of the games, seem irrelevant. I always shudder when fans seem overconfident. I doubt the Braves players take a similar attitude, but I’m just as superstitious as the players.

I really would appreciate a sweep, here

But this franchise has notoriously given the Braves’ problem. Still, if we’re getting Prado back, I’ve got hopes. Our pitching has really stepped up lately.

The Nats are...

always a scary team for us. BTW, wouldn’t Zimm look great in a Braves uniform!

Fish are scarier though.

Especially in 3D!

I am not very confident about this series, but I hope we can sweep! That would be HUGE!

Minor

He pitched for forrest high school and my junior year we was one win away from facing his team in the sub state instead collinwood played them and with minor pitching (and me in the stands) no hit the opposing team. I never though he would make it this far, shows wat I know but now he is one of my fav players. Hoping he has a great outing and rest of thr year!!

What about him no-hitting the other team made you think he wouldn’t make it this far? Walks or errors by the defense?

The Nats (just like the Marlins) always seem to step UP their game to play us.

We however, tend to play down to the competition too much for me to think this will be anything but a TOUGH series.

We can’t relax and not play our best baseball these next 3 games.
Stay focused!

I jus never dreamed...

Mike would make it onto a major league roster better yet be a starter on that team less than 4 years later not to mention my favorite team..I didn’t mean he didn’t have the talent but in our class which is 1A (the smallest schools in TN) I never imagined him getting this far. I wasn’t trying to take anything away from him jus saying the chances of someone in 1A making it onto a major league roster are about 1 in a million and he is that one, I’m proud of him!!

I'm thinking

Omare Infante will play 3B if Prado returns.

i'd prefer the opposite
You know...

I’ve heard that all over the place. Why? I feel like Prado has better range at 2B, is quicker at turning the DP, and is all around better at that spot. Omar has spelled chipper more than a few times and looks very capable a the hot corner. What’s the deal with everyone saying Prado at 3rd?

The deal

Either one can play 2nd or 3rd, and probably will.

Nice Preview

But saying maybe Frank isn’t the man to lead this franchise if he trades for Aramis????……That statement really rubbed me the wrong way. Look at the first place team this guy has put together.

Also,

Aramis could be an excellent pickup for us (or he could be terrible). It would all depend on which Aramis showed up in Atlanta—the inept one from the first half or the excellent one from the last month or so and most of his career.

It’d be a gamble, sure, but I really don’t understand the resistance to it. With Ramirez, there’s a huge potential upside, unlike with, say, Rick Ankiel, where the upside is still not any good. I personally would not mind having a potential power-hitting 3B as long as the cost was not too high.

But then what about next year?...

Or is it basically hedging the bet that once Chipper is healthy, Aramis will go down with something, and then when Chipper inevitably has a DL stint later on hopefully Ramirez will be back healthy? Between one or the other, one on the DL with the other at 3rd?

Dittos.

Aramis would be the perfect pickup for this team this year.

Worry about next year next year. The Braves are obviously going for a WS this year, and Aramis would help fill the void that we have with Chipper’s ACL injury.

I really, really, do not like the matchup in game 1. Olsen kills us for whatever reason (because he’s left-handed and breathing?) and Minor, for all his talent, is a rookie and will be inconsistent. Minor could easily give up 4 or 5 runs while Olsen shuts us out for 7 innings. I hope not, but that’s my gut feeling.

The last two games, though, look very promising. I don’t know why the Nats have Lannan right after Livan in the rotation—that’s a killer for him, because hitters will already be used to seeing slow stuff; they won’t have to adjust their timing. And for a guy who sucks to begin with, timing is everything.

Go Braves!

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