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Talking Chop

Braves vs. Brewers - Series Preview

Don't worry Old Man, I'm back.

Kevin C. Cox - Getty Images

Don't worry Old Man, I'm back.

After a wild All-Star Break that included Brian McCann winning MVP of the Mid-Summer Classic and and the acquisition of Alex Gonzalez, it's time for some Braves baseball.

The hot-and-cold Milwaukee Brewers will make their way into Hotlanta for a 4-game series. The Brewers had been struggling before the break, but swept the lousy Pirates to end the 1st half. Two of the wins did come in extra innings against one of the worst teams in baseball, so take the sweep for what it was.

The Brew Crew are currently 40-49 on the season and sit in 3rd place in the weak NL Central. 

Here are some basic offensive stats for the Brewers and their NL rankings:

Runs: 418 (4th)
BA: .260 (7th)
OBP: .336 (5th)
SLG: .432 (2nd)
HR: 110 (1st)
SB:
49 (11th)
BB/K Ratio: 0.48 (5th)

As you can see, the Brewers are a very talented offensive club. Ryan Braun, Prince Fielder, Casey McGehee and Corey Hart form a very potent middle of the order and Rickie Weeks is a pretty good leadoff man. They don't get much production from anyone else though. Alcides Escobar isn't hitting much of anything, George Kottaras has been catching lately without much offensive contribution and Carlos Gomez is barely OPS'ing .600.

Star-divide

Now some stats for their starting pitchers:

ERA: 4.63 (14th)
FIP: 4.65 (15th)
Innings Pitched: 500.0 (14th)
K/9: 7.34 (5th)
BB/9: 4.05(16th)
BAA: .275 (14th)
WHIP: 1.52 (15th)

That's horrible, and that's with ace Yovanni Gallardo in the rotation. Gallardo is currently on the 15-day DL and will miss the series. Dave Bush and Randy Wolf have both been decent, Manny Parra is mediocre and Chris Narveson is pretty awful. Both Wolf and Parra are both lefties though, and we all know how the Braves do against those.

And their relievers:

ERA: 5.25 (15th)
FIP: 4.00 (10th)
Innings Pitched: 293.1 (16th); Oh my goodness.
K/9: 8.35 (6th)
BB/9: 3.77 (7th) 
BAA: .280 (14th)
WHIP:
1.52 (14th)

Similar to their starting pitchers, the bullpen is pretty bad as well. Their lower FIP suggests they aren't all that bad, but the rest of the numbers are still pretty ugly. Trevor Hoffman is no longer the closer and Joh Axford has done a nice job in the 9th innings for them. Carlos Villanueva, Todd Coffey and Zach Braddock make up their middle relief and they're all decent. Kameron Loe has been a bright spot for them and he's been very good in his stint in Milwaukee.

Pitching Match-Ups:

Thursday, 7:10EST: 

W-L G GS CG SHO SV BS IP H R ER HR BB K ERA WHIP
2010 - Jair Jurrjens 1-3 7 7 0 0 0 0 35.0 30 23 21 4 16 25 5.40 1.31
W-L G GS CG SHO SV BS IP H R ER HR BB K ERA WHIP
2010 - Dave Bush 4-6 24 17 0 0 0 0 95.2 103 51 44 11 40 52 4.14 1.49


Friday, 7:35EST:

W-L G GS CG SHO SV BS IP H R ER HR BB K ERA WHIP
2010 - Tommy Hanson 8-5 18 18 1 0 0 0 102.1 106 50 47 7 34 104 4.13 1.37
W-L G GS CG SHO SV BS IP H R ER HR BB K ERA WHIP
2010 - Randy Wolf 6-8 20 19 0 0 0 0 116.1 117 66 59 21 58 74 4.56 1.50


Saturday, 7:10EST:

W-L G GS CG SHO SV BS IP H R ER HR BB K ERA WHIP
2010 - Tim Hudson 9-4 19 18 1 0 0 0 121.1 94 32 31 9 43 61 2.30 1.13
W-L G GS CG SHO SV BS IP H R ER HR BB K ERA WHIP
2010 - Chris Narveson 7-6 23 14 0 0 0 1 86.2 101 60 58 13 35 71 6.02 1.57


Sunday, 1:35EST:

W-L G GS CG SHO SV BS IP H R ER HR BB K ERA WHIP
2010 - Derek Lowe 9-8 19 19 0 0 0 0 113.2 116 57 55 9 44 70 4.35 1.41
W-L G GS CG SHO SV BS IP H R ER HR BB K ERA WHIP
2010 - Manny Parra 3-6 26 9 0 0 0 0 69.2 86 41 36 9 33 71 4.65 1.71

0 recs  |  74 comments

Comments

LINEUP!!!!

Prado
Heyward
Chipper
McCann
Glaus
Hinske
Gonzalez
Blanco
Jurrjens

1. ITS GREAT TO HAVE HEYWARD BACK. He makes this lineup so much more potent.

2. We have a guy with 17 home runs our 7 spot. I repeat, we have a guy with 17 home runs in our 7 spot.

Can’t wait to see our newly formed offense in action.

zomg! eur seewwwww stooop-ped alice gonszalez cannot possibly evar heet another hoem runzzzz!

which is fine because he’s not the mastermind of a conspiracy to break Troy Glaus’ wrist, right?

I

was not on that bandwagon

for some reason

Im the most excited about Blanco in CF

Much better than Melky.

Sorry, I am afraid it is a mirage.

Blanco’s production that is. Although it is hard to tell. Blanco started out great in 2008 before crapping the bed at the end. Then he put up an OPS of around .600 in AAA last year. That just does not portend for future success. On the positive side, he has speed even though he doesn’t steal many bases, and he is fairly patient, which is a nice quality from an 8-hole hitter.

Seriously, why not try Blanco at the leadoff spot? He has good plate discipline and speed. And it would allow Prado to drop back down to the 2 hole, and Heyward could hit 5th.

I’d rather not mess with prado in the leadoff spot

I hope Prado

has gotten past his mini slump. Go Braves!

I think he has.

Even during his mini slump, Prado was putting in good at bats. He was hitting the ball pretty hard but the problem was the ball did not fall or land away from the fielders. I think he is good to go tonight. Call it a hunch.

remember when we had the leadoff problem at the beginning of the season? before we put Prado in the leadoff spot we had him usually hitting second, and he was raking then too. Not saying that I agree with Blanco hitting leadoff, but just pointing out that Prado would be awesome wherever Bobby decides to put him in the lineup.

he rakes whatever slot he is put in

Ride out Blanco's hot streak, but don't move him up in the lineup

this start will end. He’s striking out in almost 24% of his ABs and his BABIP checks in at .429 as of right now. We’ve seen Blanco do this before and that average will regress a lot.

maybe its just bullshit that im spouting but it would seem a grounball hitter like Blanco would suffer from wild fluctuations of BABiP.

he's speedy so his BABIP will be higher than average

but not that high. When the dust settles, he’s a nice fourth outfielder with good on base skills who can play all three outfield spots if needed. A good guy to have on your team but not nearly this good.

no i wasnt saying that he can sustain a high BABiP, although as you mentioned he can…just that a guy who lives and dies on hitting grounballs is gonna have some trouble with luck…sometimes the ball goes through sometimes it doesnt…so he seems more susceptible to wild fluctuations in his BABiP..

probably

just got to ride out those hot streaks and fortunately he has the on base skills to still have some value when his bat is cold

I'm also excited

to see Gonzalez playing tonight. I’m keeping my expectations in check, don’t want to be disappointed if it takes him a few games to settle in and start playing up to his potential.

He is playing over his head atm

I would like for him to keep this trend up, but if he gets settled in and back to playing over his head I will be most pleased!

I realize what his stats say

I’m being optimistic in my thinking. He may just be a “late bloomer”:)

Oh I agree with your optimistic attitude.

It’s not the HR’s that catch my eye, but also his extra base hits.

I hope he is a late bloomer!

This has to be my favorite lineup of the year. Only thing that could make it better would be if Huddy was in the 9th spot (although he could pinch-hit at any moment)

LaRussa

would probably bat Huddy 6th

Would be disappointed if we don’t win at least 3 of 4.

I like this matchup

Wolf is the only pitcher on their club that I can see the Braves struggling against, a crafty Lefty. Parra, as a lefty, worries me less because of his control issues. Lets hope the Braves start off the 2nd half well.

Braves Option Brandon Hicks to AAA to make room for Heyward:

http://twitter.com/mlbbowman/status/18628380842

Why?

We All know Hicks is better than Heyward:)

he was helping my fantasy team. I had no MI and use him bc i knew he might score a run every once and a while…he has 5 runs scored and an OPS of 1000 for my team (the only PA he got he walked, for me at least)…

now I must turn to Tommy Manzella

Managerial fail.

ya i should have known that DeRosa was gonna break his wrist and not contrubute at all thi sseason…

Ya gotta like the first 3 pitching matchups

Does anyone know when Mike Minor pitches this series for Gwinnett?

im visitng Buffalo(family) and will go to a Gwinnett-Buffalo game, but i’d rather go to the game in which Minor pitches…any help would be well appreciated

Going to see Scott Thorman tonight in AAA action. Should I go for the ’graph?

HA.

Saw him play in Omaha last weekend; Went 0-3 with a pair of walks and a pair of strikeouts. O Royals scored 13 on 16 hits and not a single one from Scotty.

Made a bonehead mistake running the bases – stopped at 2nd on a double in to the left field corner, thought it was foul.

decent numbers this year for Omaha. But the big story is Moustakas’ AAA debut.

your in buffalo?
nevermind

i forgot hes not in our organization anymore

Let's Go Bravos!

Remember, this is Braves Country. 30-10!

Beware, brew crew

You’re in Braves country.
You’ve been warned.

might as well start drinking now
Heyward goes deep twice in this series..

AT THE LEAST. he’s rested up..and ready.

I really want to kill some time...

Im awaiting the debut of Gonzalez, and Heyward back from the DL.

Also playing…

Phillies at Cubs:
Moyer / Dempster

Mets at Giants:
Dickey / Lincecum

ohhhhhhhhhh ohh ohhhhhhhh….. oooooohhh ohh ohhhhh. “chopping”

Thier record is bad....

but their bats are not to be triffled with. I never feel comfortable with their midle of the lineup

any truth

on this other blog they’re saying Buster Olney reporting Braves are close to aquiring Hart. any truth folks ?

Buster Olney says a lot of stuff

Some of it’s right, but a ton of it is wrong, too. Blind squirrels, nuts, blind dogs, bones, broken clocks, deaf musicians, etc.

olney would tweet something like that first and foremost and there’s been no activity there. mlbtraderumors also has nothing of the sort

I like Buster, but is he really saying these things?

Hart may be too much….we don’t need him. but if we get him, I’m on board- swan song

I thought about if we did get a big bat

I would be scared to look at the prospects we would give up…

We probably win the first three

And lose when Derek starts.

He appears to have lost his DerekLoweWin mojo.

We haven’t scored for him at all lately. Why do we always have 1 guy that we don’t score for? And don’t tell me it’s just dumb luck. That’s such a logical explanation that it can’t possibly be right.

gonzo goes yard crime dog style

all we need is a fire in the booth

Against this pitching staff,

I wouldn’t be surprised.

No fires, though, please.

i think the staff is underrated…they arent good, but they arent as bas as the stats indicate.

Narveson has a good GB% and yet his BABiP is still 337…his XFIP is in the 4.40s and thats decent enough…the MLW defense is horrible….the only two players with postive UZR are Escobar and GOmez and a bunch of them are legendary bad (Weeks)…and i think the defense is killing the whole team (which is why their ERAs are all above thier FIPs.

Parra has also pitched better than his stats indicate…

we are certainly the better team pitching wise and its close offensively (if they get hot, they might be the best offense in baseball with the top 5 of the order all capable of 30+ HR). And we should certainly win the series, so thats good news..and its great to see a healthy Heyward. and lucky to not have to face Gallardo bc he is a stud.

Applauding the photo & caption. Well done.

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