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Pirates at Braves Series Preview: Ahoy (Again), Mateys!

That certainly didn't take long. The Braves (25-22, 2nd in NL East) and Pirates (20-28, 4th in NL Laughingstock Central) meet for the 2nd time in a week when Pittsburgh makes the trip down to Atlanta for a 3-game series. The Bucs come into Atlanta struggling, losing 3 out of 4 against Cincinnati and 2 out of 3 against the Braves. This certainly doesn't mean the Braves can take them lightly. We've all seen our beloved Bravos struggle against the cellar dwellers the past few seasons and we don't want that trend to continue.

Not much has changed with the Pirates since last weekend's series. They're still near the bottom of the NL in runs scored (15th), home runs (14th), batting average (15th) and strikeouts (11th). Andrew McCutchen and Garrett Jones combine for a solid 3-4 punch in the middle of the lineup, but they're awful everywhere else. The Braves pitchers should have no problem keeping the Bucs lineup under control.

The pitching is just as bad for the Pirates. They're 15th in the NL with a team ERA of 5.38 (compared to the Braves ERA of 3.93.) The Pirates pitchers (say that 5 times fast!) give up the longball quite often, giving up 56 so far in 2010 which is good for 15th in the NL. The Pirates problem? They have true ace. To be honest, they don't even have a true #2 starter. They have a collection of 3, 4 and 5 starters and the numbers reflect this.

Surely something has to be good for the Bucs, right? Wrong. The bullpen has failed miserably as well for the Pirates in 2010. They're 13th in bullpen ERA and have already pitched a ridiculous 176.1 innings, which is the most in the NL. Evan Meek, Javier Lopez and D.J. Carrasco have all been solid out of the 'pen, but closer Octavio Dotel has an ERA around 6. Combine this with bad-to-awful performances from Jack Tashner, Joel Hanrahan and Brendan Donnelly and you have a bullpen that has really struggled to get guys out. Let's hope the Braves can continue this trend during the weekend.

Pitching matchups and more after the jump.

Star-divide

Pitching Matchups:

Derek Lowe vs. Zach Duke, 7:35EST

Lowe's Last Start: It was a bit of an odd game for the $60M "ace" in his last start. In true Derek Lowe fashion, he pitched decently, but still came away with the win. He went 5 sloppy innings against the Bucs and gave up 5 hits and walked 4, but held them to only 2 runs.

Duke's Last Start: Duke basically dominated the Braves, but he was facing a C-squad lineup. He threw 7 innings and only allowed 1 run, but went against a Braves lineup without Heyward, McCann and Hinske.

Kris Medlen vs. Brian Burres, 7:10EST

Medlen's Last Start: Midlan  Marvin  Meddin  Midlen Medlen pitched well in Pittsburgh last weekend, but the offense failed him and he took a tough 3-2 loss. He went 5.2 innings and allowed only 2 earned runs.

Burres' Last Start: Burres was horrible in his last start against the Reds. He only retired 11 batters and gave up 5 runs on 5 hits and 4 walks.

Kenshin Kawakami vs. Paul Maholm, 1:35EST

Kawakami's Last Start: KK pitched well (once again) in his last start against Florida, but took his 7th loss in a game the Braves lost 6-4. He went 6 strong innings and only allowed 3 runs, but his offense and bullpen failed him again.

Maholm's Last Start: Maholm was very impressive in his last start against the Reds. He threw 7 shutout innings and only allowed 5 hits and 2 walks.

Questions of the Series:

1. Will the Braves be able to hit lefty pitchers? Duke, Burres and Maholm are all lefties and we've all seen how inconsistent the Braves hitters have been against southpaws this year.

2.. How will the Braves' pitching do without Hanson or Hudson? This is the first series all year that won't have either Tommy or Timmy pitching. Will Lowe, Meds and KK be able to handle it?

3. Will the Braves be able to take some momentum into June? A sweep would be huge for the Braves. They've been awful in June the past half-decade. Perhaps a sweep to conclude a fantastic month of May would change this.

GO BRAVES!

0 recs  |  34 comments

Comments

McCutchen is a joy to watch play. I hope we get a chance at him when the Pirates put him up for trade in a couple years.

Do you think he and Lastings Milledge ever get their braids tangled going after balls in the gap together?

reminiscent of the Golden Gopher backfield of Laurence Maroney and Marion Barber III

So true.

It will be fun to watch him and Heyward roaming the garden in future All-Star games

Let’s hope KK can get a win….or at least not get a loss.

clean sweep

The Braves really need to sweep the Bucs because right after them, the Phillies come into town. It would be nice to go into that series with a little momentum because the Bravos need to take 2/3 at least against the Phils, too. Hopefully these next 3 games will be some good ones for Atlanta.

With all this lefty on lefty action, does that mean we get 3 days of Melk?

I sure hope not.

When the Melk gets hot the haters get sour.

Agreed.

Much rather see Hinske take some more pitiful swings against LHPs.

Melky can play CF...

sitting McLouth and keeping Hinske in the lineup.

Except, I think Nate’s numbers vs. LHP are better than Hinske’s. I may be wrong on that. I’d look it up if I weren’t stuck here at work and posting in between things.

yeah

I don’t want our hottest hitter the last 10 games in the lineup either

He will cool off. I’m not going to let one week of good batting change my opinion on nearly 2 months worth of bad batting.

Regardless, I’m going to ride the hot bat especially considering Hinske keeps showing how atrocious he is against lefties AND how good he has done while coming off the bench, mostly the former though

Definitely. Ride the hot hand. And Melky is better than he was playing. I’ll take two years of average baseball compared to 2 months of shit

So you expect Hinske to bat over 300?

And Melky to bat under 200?

Yes.

Melky’s career AVG: .267
Hinske’s career AVG: .256

Hinske almost certainly will have a higher average than Melky this year, but only if we continue to protect him by limiting his ABs versus lefties.

Pirates pitchers Pirates pitchers Pirates pitchers Pirates pitchers Pirates pitchers

That Rickie Weeks is a good ballplayer
Fact Check

Series already played w/o Hanson or Hudson pitching:

vs. Col Apr 16-18
at. Phl May 7-9
vs. NYM May 17-18 (a two gamer, but still)

When is JJ coming back? I assume he’ll start in AAA for a while.

If I’m not mistaken I think it will be after interleague.

Hopefully Yunel and Melky’s hot play lately will help us to hit these lefties. We need somebody other than Glaus to hit them.

Still, it’s not like the Pirates are going to score a ton of runs on us (hopefully). And their bullpen isn’t great. So even if we can’t score a bunch off the starters, we have a good chance to take the series.

This might be a good series to give Chipper a day off and let Infante face a lefty one day. A line up starting with Prado, Infante, Heyward, Glaus, Escobar looks ok vs lefties to me. McCann, Cabrera and McLouth bringing up the bottom. I wish we had a right hand bat to switch out McLouth, but I doubt Bobby would play Cabrera in center, Hinske in left.

I wouldn’t object if Omar played all 3 games. Let Chipper rest up for the more important series against Philly.

Is Heap healthy and playing tonight?
Agreed with the days off...

If we can get each of our normal position players one day’s rest in this series, it could pay nice dividends down the road.

Keep in mind, they’re playing 30 games in 31 days during this stretch. 10 consecutive, one day off, 20 consecutive. That’s one hell of a grind.

-C

Zach Duke beat the Braves last week

In your comments about the Pirates pitching, you didn’t mention how well Zach Duke pitched against Atlanta last week. The Braves are susceptible to left handed pitching and without Hinske in the lineup, they don’t have as much punch. Perhaps Escobar and Chipper can continue their good hitting.

against this lineup:

McLouth
Infante
Prado
Glaus
Escobar
Melky
Ross
Clevlen

That’s why I didn’t mention it.

I wonder

if Bobby will sit Mac the entire series.

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