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Talking Chop

Braves / Rockies Series Recap

Ho-hum. Another series, another series win for the Bravos. This one was even duller than the others. Really, hardly anything of note happened--just the same old same old. I'm so sick of all these 7-run innings, no-hitters, and walk-off hits. But hey, better to win a dull series than lose an interesting one, right Braves fans?

Seriously, though. That was one heck of a series between two excellent and evenly-matched teams. Here's a quick recap of each game:

Game 1: Braves Win 9-5

TC Recap - FanGraphs Page

On Friday, the Braves' bats took Rockies starter Jason Hammel to the woodshed much as they did Carlos Zambrano, knocking him out in the 2nd inning. The highlight of the day was the 7-run, 7-hit, 12-batter 2nd inning. Derek Lowe (who else) was the beneficiary of all of those runs. Lowe pitched fairly well for the first 4 innings but ran into trouble in the 5th and didn't make it through the 6th. He gave up 4 runs (3 earned) in 5.1 IP, striking out 5 and "earning" the win. Every Braves' starter but Lowe had at least 1 hit and scored at least 1 run.

(Recaps, Fun Facts, and Awards after the jump...)

Star-divide

Game 2: Rockies win 4-0

TC Recap - FanGraphs Page

On Saturday, the Rockies' Ubaldo Jimenez was spectacular (and spectacularly wild), throwing a no-hitter despite 6 walks. Jimenez also drove in a run with a single, completing his amazing day. Carlos Gonzalez added two doubles, including one that drove in 2 runs. Kenshin Kawakami pitched for the Braves but was no match for Jimenez, giving up 4 ER in 5 IP. The lone bright spot for the Braves was the excellent debut of reliever Jonny Venters, who threw 3 shutout innings and looked dominant.

Game 3: Braves win 4-3

TC Recap - FanGraphs Page

On Sunday, the Braves appeared to be headed for a dispiriting defeat. They had consistently gotten on base all afternoon (game totals: 8 hits and 11 walks), but had managed only 2 runs off Rockies starter Greg Smith and a trio of relievers. Jair Jurrjens pitched very well overall, striking out 9 and pitching 8 full innings (the most for any Braves starter this year), but was hurt by two solo homers by Ian Stewart and Carlos Gonzalez. JJ left trailing 3-2.

In the ninth, Rockies' fill-in closer Franklin Morales got into trouble early, giving up a hit to Martin Prado, and then became discomposed when a couple umpiring calls went against his team (a balk and a call at first). Morales walked the bases loaded with 2 outs, setting up Jason Heyward to do what he does best--astonish everyone. Heyward (who also had a bases-loaded walk earlier in the game) drove in the tying and winning runs with a line single to left. The 20-year-old finally showed some emotion after his hit, jumping around like the kid he is until his teammates dogpiled him. It was a great win, and a fantastic finish to a very interesting series.

Series Fun Facts

  1. The Braves walked 23 times in the series, including 11 times in the finale. The Braves have matched that walk total in only 5 other games since 2001.
  2. Bobby Cox did not use Peter Moylan, Takashi Saito, or Billy Wagner in any of the three games, despite each game being decided by 4 runs or fewer. Who would have imagined that could happen?
  3. After 12 games of the season, the Braves have still scored more runs in Derek Lowe's 3 starts (32) than in all other games combined (28). This could be a running stat all year long (I hope not, though).
  4. Jason Heyward now leads the league in WPA (1.67) and shaving cream pies to the face (2).

Series Awards

Best Pitching Performance: ¡Ubaldo! -- 9 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 6 BB, 7 K, 1 BK, 0.320 WPA

Best Hitting Performance: Heyward-- 3/10, 3 BB, R, 3 RBI, 1.059 WPA

Worst Pitching Performance: (tie) Hammel-- 1.2 IP, 8 H, 7 ER, 3 BB, 1 K, -0.344 WPA; and Morales-- 0.2 IP, 2 H, 2 ER, 2 BB, 1 BK, -0.820 WPA.

Worst Hitting Performance: (tie) Rockies catchers (Chris Iannetta and Miguel Olivo)-- 0/11, 1 BB, 5 K, -0.180 WPA; and Troy Glaus--0/7, 2 BB, 2 K, -0.223 WPA.

Best Defensive Play: Dexter Fowler's diving catch to save Jimenez's no-hitter

Clutch Play: Heyward's walk-off single, 0.741 WPA

0 recs  |  27 comments

Comments

WPA

That has to be the hokiest stat ever created. They going to start putting that on the bottom line crawl?

Hokey how?

It is the single best measure of a player’s contributions in an individual game. Obviously it does not have predictive value, but it is extremely useful in this context. If you don’t like fancy stats, feel free to ignore it; I give the conventional ones too. I put it in there for those who want a better measure than just hits and RBIs.

So his WPA is 1.08 meaning that the teams odds of winning the game after he was up to the plate were 105.9% better than they were before he batted?

It's cumulative, not an average.

So he improved the Braves’ win chances 74% in the last AB sunday, 12% with his bases loaded walk, 10% with his other walk, etc.

But it’s not on the scoreboard…

You're Right

What a boring series. Ugh. Jason Heyward is not even close to being worth all the hype. We could have used in Jason Bay instead. (do not take serious just sarcasm)

Go Bravos!

Well, I could hardly get through all that…it was so very…geriatric sounding.

;-)
.

Great Series

and a great way to end it going into a tough/important against the Phillies where it looks like we could be facing both Halladay AND Hamels

Hamels won’t pitch in the upcoming series. He pitched last night against Florida.

The series looks like it will be this:

Hanson vs. Kendrick
Hudson vs. Happ
Lowe vs. Halladay

With those matchups, if we had a consistent offense, I’d call sweep right now.

The good news is...

we may well rock Halladay for a big day.

Just keep winning series.

That’s a bunch of Hs.

Would be more with Hamels, too.

No Dragon Slayer vs Halladay???? Damn, I want a re-match!

It’s early in the season…

Thursday will be the ultimate test of the Derek Lowe win, and i’ll be there to see it live.

According to a fanshot posted recently

The matchups will be:

Hanson vs. Kendrick
Hudson vs. Halladay
Lowe vs. Moyer

So I’m thinking somebody is getting a DLW in game 3. And Game 2 will be tough on hitters of both teams.

The fun fact that gets me most excited is Bobby’s use of the bullpen. Maybe our three best relief pitchers won’t be run to the ground come September, and we don’t have to count on blown saves with guys like Meds, Venters, and O’Flaherty in the pen. I really love our pitching staff this year.

+1

The pen is really amazing. See the stat of the day that mvhsbball posted today. 8 non-Jo-Jo runs in 37 innings or something like that. Sick. And now that Venters is up, I think every single guy in the pen is capable of shutting down the other team. I don’t know if I’ve ever been as confident in an Atlanta pen. The only comparable pen is the 2002 pen which had Chris Hammond’s sub-1.00 ERA, Mike Remlinger and Darren Holmes with sub-2.00 ERAs, and John Smoltz’s 55 saves, plus good work from Kerry Ligtenberg and Tim Spooneybarger.

Ironically...

This is the one time of year that Bobby could afford to give “extra” bullpen work to a few guys since there are so many offdays in the first month of baseball.

Bobby showing restraint? I think….I think I need to go lie down.

That picture looks like Heyward is taking out Hinske, Diaz, and Heap in a giant fit of rage. SUPER CLOTHESLINE!!!!

Not using the Big three was pretty amazing. I openly questioned using Wagner in the Padres finale because they might be needed in every game this weekend. I felt better after Beard successfully predicted the Derek Lowe run support Friday, but i still feel silly.

“Heyward MAD!”
 
“Heyward SMASH!”

More analysis

Here’s my contribution to the Heyward buzz, as well as more reaction to/analysis of the Colorado series. I think there’s something to be said for the way they bounced back on Sunday. Enjoy.

http://bit.ly/9Ta5Oq

you lost me towards the end
Get rid of Nate McLouth. I don’t care if you trade him, sell him, knock him off in a back-alley. Just get rid of him. He’s always hurt, he doesn’t hit for average, and he struck out 99 times last year.
As far as I can tell, The Ghost of Troy Glaus is no longer a productive Big League player, and his 26 games of sub-.200, 1 HR, 8 RBI baseball since 2008 back me up on this.

wha?

re: you lost me

1) Thanks a lot for reading. 2) As you can tell, I wasn’t a big fan of either acquisition – McLouth because of the above reasons (he’s only played more than 137 games once in his career) and Glaus because I don’t think he has much left in the tank. And, yes, I realize it’s early… But geeze, can you explain to me why Matt Diaz isn’t a full-time player? He’s hitting .316 since joining the Braves, and it’s not like he has world beaters in front of him.

I won’t lie, it’s certainly disappointing that McLouth hasn’t yet become the immediate impact leadoff hitter we all hoped he’d be, but like most folks around here, I don’t think we should give up on him yet. He still has speed, power, good baserunning/stealing skills, and is not “always hurt,” as you say.

As we all know, Glaus was hurt for a long time. He’ll never be Pujols-esque, but if he can return to a level anywhere near his career numbers, he’ll certainly be worth the price we paid. There’s no way you can say he’s done at this point – the season just started, and Troy’s only now getting back to where he should be strength and health-wise.

The easy answer to your question about Diaz would be that he has always had much more power and overall success against lefties than righties, hence the platoon role. His other skills (in the outfield, etc.) just aren’t good enough to warrant playing him every day, given those split numbers.

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