Add right handed power hitter. Check.
Re-sign key pinch hitter. Check
Add right handed setup man. Check.
Add another left handed setup man (because just about every slugger in the NL East is a lefty). Check.
So what's left for the Atlanta Braves on the off-season shopping list?
Really, not much. The Braves have a pretty set roster, and have even gone as far as to fill out a lot of the details of the roster -- bench guys and 5th and 6th bullpen arms. But that got me thinking about what else the Braves need. It was noted recently by the Braves beat writers that the team is fine going into the spring with guys like Diory Hernandez and Ed Lucas competing for backup jobs. I disagree.
Two years ago we suffered through a couple of months of Diory Hernandez not performing very well while filling in for the injured Yunel Escobar (and the injured Omar Infante). A big part of our offense was missing and we couldn't replace it, though that was the rare double-shortstop injury. Last year when Chipper Jones went down, when Yunel Escobar went down, and other key players went down, we were able to fill in with an Omar Infante or Brooks Conrad and the offense kept going. While Conrad is still here to provide that second/third base support, and Martin Prado can always move back in from the outfield, the Braves need another above average backup that can play shortstop and come close to replacing what Omar Infante gave us. (I say come close, because it would be hard to replace or replicate what Omar did last year -- maybe even for Omar.)
While the cost of getting Dan Uggla was VERY cheap, it did remove a nice and reliable backup piece away from our team. The Braves stated after the trade they would try to acquire another utility infielder, but the urgency of that needs to be stepped up. With the fragility of Chipper Jones, we saw last year the need for reliable and proven Major League backups.
This off-season has been a success, but that one last piece needs to be secured before our depth will be at a level where I can feel comfortable.
0 recs | 223 comments
I heard this Ellsbury character is pretty okay
We should get him.. or another popping OF..
dank7 - December 10, 2010
Also still need to move KK
I think with ~$4M left, a 4th OF to let Prado backup 2nd and 3rd should be a priority over backing up SS.
Three more things for me to feel OK:
4th OF RH power bat
Move KK to clear up $2M+
Backup SS with good OBP and speed
someguy1 - December 10, 2010
Any guy who can play decent defense...
…at SS and has a good OBP and speed (or even just a good OBP) is not going to be a backup, he is going to be a starter.
cavebird - December 10, 2010
Yep.
I really think I meant defense instead of OBP. Justin’s finally got in my head.
someguy1 - December 10, 2010
Good!
justincredubil02 - December 10, 2010
I do like the Andruw idea, however.
cavebird - December 10, 2010
With guys like Conrad and Hinske,
I’m pretty happy with the guys we have coming off the bench in terms of swinging the stick. But since the offseason began, I’ve wanted us to go after a guy who is a beast in the field, even if he doesnt bring a solid bat. All of those fielding measurements go over my head, but do any of you stat guys have a few FA’s you think fit that mold; that mold being a cheap infield utility guy who’s nasty with the glove, can run around the bases with above average speed, and would be a step above Diory?
Sewanee Braves - December 10, 2010
Jerry Hairston.
Above average defense in the two places we need it most: center and short. His bat isn’t anything special, but its at least serviceable, unlike Diory.
J-Freak - December 10, 2010 via mobile
Hairston would be GREAT addition with what we need to round things out.
bighop - December 10, 2010
Disagree
Hairston of the 650 OPS? I dont think he provides any value beyond what Diory does.
Cream - December 10, 2010
Except tht he plays 3 or 4 more positions in the field than Diory.
bighop - December 10, 2010
Right
I forgot to the include the qualifier of “Provides any value beyond what Diory does (with the bat)”
Cream - December 10, 2010
I think Hairston is somewhat better with the bat than Diory. Diory is awesome in AAA, but has not been good vs ML pitching.
bighop - December 10, 2010
In his huge sample size of 103 PAs?
Cream - December 10, 2010
Good point
bighop - December 10, 2010
I’ll go a step further here. I don’t have a lot of confidence in Diory- I cringed when he stepped in the batter’s box. However, according to his time in the minor league and accompanying numbers, there is some potential upside.
With Hairston, his track record is pretty consistent and we can predict with reasonable certainty what his 2011 numbers will look like. It’s a depressing slash line- Bill James estimates 250/311/680.
Cream - December 10, 2010
I conceded the point already, do you want me to argue more?
bighop - December 10, 2010
Not at all. I was echoing your sentiments about Diory sucking when we’ve seen him.
Cream - December 10, 2010
Problem with Conrad is
he would only serve as a PH. While a power hitting 4th OF type could be our RH PH as well as our OF backup if Chipper gets injured. That way Brooks will move into our RH PH role if Chipper goes down and we still have a serviceable outfield.
someguy1 - December 10, 2010
Who was the right handed setup man? I hope you didn’t mean Proctor.
redwards95 - December 10, 2010
Linebrink
MWhitexx - December 10, 2010
I wonder what Frank will do...
most of the free agent SS market is aging former starters like Christian Guzman, and Julio Lugo that will probably want more money than they are worth at this point. Adam Everett would be good if he could hit at all. Maybe Nick Punto?
MWhitexx - December 10, 2010
I missed this earlier.
This was the comment I was looking for re: SS backup. Adam Everett seems the favorite on here so far.
someguy1 - December 10, 2010
I have brought him up a lot….but i must admit, his skills may be diminshing and his bat hasnt been good ever….
the main reason i like him is at most he costs $1M and we can probably get him for less…and at worst he is adequate at SS and 2B
Swo12bv - December 10, 2010
So is Diory
Cream - December 10, 2010
ya i know…which is why i have been falling off my own praise of everett…
Swo12bv - December 10, 2010
we should go after the best wold series mvp EVER!! trade for david eckstein!
hopefully everyone sees the sarcasm…
forgotten_glory - December 10, 2010
Another BIG BAT
TradeAndruw - December 10, 2010
Make a list of big bats that could be had for under 3 million.
MWhitexx - December 10, 2010
I'll start
with Andruw.
someguy1 - December 10, 2010
Really?
Sorry he was asking for big bats, not big butts. Easy mistake.
Jason Heyward for President - December 10, 2010
Clever.
I can’t think of a clever comeback, so I’ll just point out that he hit 19HR last year in 300 AB.
someguy1 - December 10, 2010
Signing Andruw would not bug me at all.
bighop - December 10, 2010
Me either
When looking at the options that we can Actually afford, without giving up one or more of our talented pitchers, I think he would be one of our better options.
HEYJUDE - December 10, 2010
he also played in a little league stadium in Chicago
leedawg - December 10, 2010
Unless you can back that up with how many of those wouldn’t have been homers at Turner or take into account road splits or something, I don’t care. That’s on pace for 40HR over a full season, which is alot for < $3M.
someguy1 - December 10, 2010
here are some stats for you
Andruw at home: .245/.366/.552 and 12 homers
Andruw on the road: .215/.314/.415 and 7 homers
Not worth it
leedawg - December 10, 2010
I disagree
and I’ve made the points elsewhere
But he is a big bat that could be had for unser $3M, no?
someguy1 - December 10, 2010
I checked hittracker...
He had 2 “lucky” homers at U.S. Cellular (would’ve been HRs in 3 and 5 parks, respectively) and another at New Yankee Stadium. 12/19 HRs overall at The Cell, which is a pretty large split, though not crazy. Interestingly, of his road homers, 2 came at Yankee Stadium (which is good for HRs, obviously) and 3 came in Toronto (also a great HR-hitting park). He only hit 2 road HRs in other parks (1 at Target Field, 1 at Safeco).
Put it all together, and I think it’s fair to wonder just how many he’d hit in a neutral environment. He should sign with Colorado or Arizona if he comes to the NL.
Jacob Peterson - December 10, 2010
he could be a good platoon guy with Seth Smith in Colorado
but we don’t really have much need for him here
leedawg - December 10, 2010
Yankee stadium isnt known as a HR park for RH hitters though..its mostly LH…if i remember
Swo12bv - December 10, 2010
Thanks pac, for doing the work,
and this isn’t surprising. I think for him, it might be best to go somewhere else, but I can’t think of any better 4th OF type big bat (RH) that could be had for this $.
someguy1 - December 10, 2010
its also worth noting that 19 HR in limited ABs is not the same as 40 HR in full time ABs…most likely Ozzie used Andruw perfectly last year and maximized Andruw’s talents, there’s no reason to think its not capable of happening with Fredi (there’s no reason to think Fredi is at worst equal to Ozzie), its just not safe to suggest Andruw would suceed in full time ABs…he has been a part time player for two years for a reason, he has flaws still.
Swo12bv - December 10, 2010
Agreed.
I’d utilize him as the defensive 4th OF and a RH PH, just what we need IMO.
someguy1 - December 10, 2010
And what he was last year for Ozzie is what we'd want out of him...
some CF, some LF, some RH pinch hitting. Not an everyday player, but still regular work.
Mr. Sanchez - December 10, 2010
I know but i had seen people try to extrapolate his stats to a full season worth of ABs as if that was something that needs to be considered…its misleading and wanted to make sure that assumption was not advanced any further.
I think havign AJ is a good idea, if he is the insurance against a shitty McLouth or injuries, and as the RH bat and 4th OF.
Now that the Dodgers arent paying him anymore, is he looking for a bigger contract.
Swo12bv - December 10, 2010
Andruw has many problems...
…contact, particularly. However, for a cheap fourth OF option with tons of upside he is a great option. The power to hit the ball out of Turner Field is quite obviously not a problem, whereever he played last year. The zillions of HR’s he has hit at Turner Field show that he has the power to do it.
cavebird - December 10, 2010
And I...
Kinda just like the guy…I’m in on this idea, too.
Jman781 - December 10, 2010
I thought it was cool a black guy from Curacao went to a country music concert with Chipper, McCann, Hudson, Frenchy, Ross and KJ about a month ago. He’s obviously still part of the Atlanta inner circle.
bighop - December 10, 2010
Andruw isn't black
Don’t you remember all the fuss made a few years ago? Atlanta and Houston had no “African Americans” on their rosters.
Just kidding though, I was really surprised to see his name on that list as well, I thought it was pretty cool both that he still hangs with Atlanta players and that he may be into country music.
Sidbreamsknees - December 10, 2010
OK, he’s not African American. He’s an Islander. It’s still a bit surprising he hangs with the guys at a country concert
bighop - December 10, 2010
In your defense, I’m a white guy from Alabama and I wouldn’t have gone to a country concert. Woe be to stereotypes!
TheLetter2 - December 10, 2010
I wouldn’t have gone either, I’m a white guy from Tennessee. I thought Andruw liked strip clubs!
bighop - December 10, 2010
I would go to a Justin Bieber concert if it meant being able to hang out with Chipper.
MBL1 - December 10, 2010
That’s a fair point. If Brian asked me to go to a country concert with him, I couldn’t very well say no. But I wouldn’t be paying very much attention to the music.
TheLetter2 - December 10, 2010
For $20,000 he’ll be your personal guide on a deer hunting trip. Google “double dime ranch” for details.
bighop - December 10, 2010
Oooo its on my goals in life list…don’t you worry. I ask for it for every Xmas and get laughed at.
Swo12bv - December 10, 2010
You aren't alone...
on my perpetual list is a fishing trip with jose Wejebe.
Mr. Sanchez - December 10, 2010
I’ve heard Randy Moss likes fishing, and he doesn’t seem to have anything better to do right now.
king of games - December 10, 2010
Since you asked...
http://i662.photobucket.com/albums/uu344/cthabeer/RandyMoss.jpg
I would have put it up, but it’s too big for this part of the page (it gets cut off drastically).
-C
cthabeerman - December 10, 2010
chances that black & mild has been gutted and stuffed?
Mr. Sanchez - December 10, 2010
If I took the picture...
It’d be a lock.
I’d say we’re looking at a close 50/50 on this one, though. It doesn’t look damaged, but you can clean out and refill a Black n Mild really easy without any damage at all…
-C
cthabeerman - December 10, 2010
The Spanish Fly guy…that dude is amazing..
Swo12bv - December 10, 2010
I love that show
Mr. Sanchez - December 10, 2010
The only time I even came close to entering a strip club was in Tennessee about two years ago. Coincidence?
TheLetter2 - December 10, 2010
Was it ladies/Chippendales night?
Mr. Sanchez - December 10, 2010
No, it was a regular ol’ strip club. I was in Nashville with a couple of friends of mine and jokingly suggested we visit a strip club. The guy who was driving thought it was a great idea proceeded to do exactly that.
TheLetter2 - December 10, 2010
I went to a Predator’s hocky game with the Mayor, a Dr and a US attorney, we wound up in a dive strip joint. It was quite a night.
bighop - December 10, 2010
I imagine it was a surreal night.
TheLetter2 - December 10, 2010
are you sure that story isnt the start to a joke?
Swo12bv - December 10, 2010
We still laugh about it, so maybe it is.
bighop - December 10, 2010
Of course he's black
Just like Craig Biggio. That’s why both of them were chosen to wear #42 on Jackie Robinson Day that year. DUH
royhobbs - December 10, 2010
wish i coulda made it out there to that concert
Jason Aldean/Luke Bryan are great, but couldnt make it
bravesfan1047 - December 10, 2010
Really?
And I’ll just point out he did that while hitting .230, in a hitters stadium, while striking out 25% of the time.
Jason Heyward for President - December 10, 2010
While I've made the case for adding Andruw clearly...
..and often over the past week, I’ll note that this particular game was supposed to be naming big bats that could be had under $3M. This was my suggestion, although I think the tone of the challenge was less than sincere.
Here’s the link to the thread which clearly says why we could use Andruw (or Murton). If you disagree with those points then say so, but I’m not going to clutter this thread further with an arguement that’s been had several times already.
If you can suggest another cheap big bat, then please do so.
someguy1 - December 10, 2010
Understood
I think the point of the question though was that there isn’t this mythical “BIG BAT” that can be had for what the Braves have left to spend. You and I disagree on whether Andrew fits that profile, but at least he fits in the budget constraints. It’s easy to say we need another slugger, hard to find one who doesn’t want a seven year hundred plus million dollar deal.
Jason Heyward for President - December 10, 2010
Tangent alert
What will Heyward want with all these ridiculous contracts this year? Is he extendable?
bighop - December 10, 2010
the only thing that matters to extending Heyward is the contract that Tulo just received…FA contracts are inherently different than extensions, especially when Hewyard won’t be a FA for 5 years, thats too much uncertainty to deal with even if Heyward’s case.
Really Tulo’s deal isn’t even appropriate because he is closer to FA than Heyward. Heyward should conceivably be convinced by a Braunesque contract (no one will ever sign a Longoria deal, thats just crazy good value).
that’s my two cents at least
Swo12bv - December 10, 2010
10 yrs, $100m...
$1m this year and next, $5 in 2013, $8 in 2014, $10 in 2015 and 2016, $15 in 2017, 2018, and 2019, leaving 2020 at $20m.
Mr. Sanchez - December 10, 2010
That sounds good to me.
Although I would try to see if he would go for $80 or $90 first.
cavebird - December 10, 2010
But considering the market now, what are the chances he'd accept...
this buys out his arb years relatively cheaply, and you’re getting 5 free agent years at well below market value if he pans out as expected. Buying out 5 free agent years can’t be cheap.
Mr. Sanchez - December 10, 2010
I fleshed it out more in another thread, so I'll do it again here...
at 80 or 90 though, that’s taking a huge risk in underpaying, because he could give that value before the free agent years alone. What is the risk cost of an injury destroying his ability, I guess that’s the question.
We’re talking about a potential HUGE bat. If Heyward is the potential top 5 defensive RF in the NL, with a .300/.400/.500 offense. If that’s the player we’re talking about over the next 5 years, he’d be in line for an enormous pay day in the second 5 years through free agency. I think, if you’re talking 10 years for that $80-90m, instead of say 7 or 8, then you are grossly undervaluing what he’d be forgoing in those 5 free agent years.
$100m for just those years alone, is an extremely low estimate. Arb and pre-arb years, that’s an estimated $20-25m I’d guess, and that may be low balling him (around $500k the next two years, then 5, 8, and 10 would = $24m combined). If Albert Pujols pushes the per year mark on elite players over $30m, and in the following years between then and when Heyward hits free agency, others push it up closer to $35m, if not more. Add 5 times a low estimate of $20m, that’s $125m, and a $25m discount for us. Go another potentially low estimate of $30m per over those 5 seasons, and now you’re at $175m and a much larger discount for buying him out now. Push it over $35m per year, and we’re talking an estimate of $200m in earnings over those 10 years. I’d think getting him for just half that is still a damn good deal, and potential Braun/Longoria like steal.
Mr. Sanchez - December 10, 2010
as i mentioned before the Longia deal should not be compared to anything else, it is crazy stupid great value.
whatever the number we start at i guess doesnt really matter, i guess we shouldnt try to “screw” him wiht a lowball and just start at 10/100
Swo12bv - December 10, 2010
Too cheap IMO
someguy1 - December 10, 2010
Like I'm gonna overpay him...
in my fantasy.
Mr. Sanchez - December 10, 2010
well Omar Minaya would do that…and so would Jim Hendry. Jim Hendry lays in bed at nigth…if only I could find a way to give that Carl Pavano guy a 6 year 120M contract.
Swo12bv - December 10, 2010
Not as far off as people might think...
If we get it done right away…I’d say probably 10 years/$130-135MM is closer.
That seems like A LOT more, but it’s about $10MM more for his arb years ($35MM to $25MM) and $25MM more for the next five years, just $5MM more per season, bringing it to an average of $20MM/year for those five. Heyward making $20MM/year on the free market by that time (assuming average career progression, no major injuries, etc.) is almost a slam dunk, so it’ll still be a deal to get it done at that price, and those will be his prime years.
If you approach it from the vantage point of the annual amount Werth signed for ($18MM), his non-arb years will be cost a little more than that, which is awfully enticing at this point in time for Heyward. In the future, maybe not so much…$25-$30 may be the norm for the top tier of players by the time 2016 rolls around.
As for the pre-arb and arb years, it’s about $7MM per year. He’s only going to make $1MM in the next two years, and getting the other $33MM thru arb is possible but pretty difficult to accomplish. It’s a good compromise for both sides.
You could probably shave $5MM off the total of this portion of the contract to make it $6MM for the five years, but any more and it may not look like a great deal, as he could make some serious bank in the second and third year of arbitration if he keeps his game tight.
Here’s the kicker…if we sign him for 10/$135MM, that’s essentially Chipper’s contract extended for 10 years. There’s no net gain or loss in the amount of team salary being expended on our franchise player for the life of that deal…Heyward will still be making considerably less while Chipper’s still around, so there’s no big logjam of salary restraints overall. We pay less early, we pay more late, but the average is completely on-par for the next 10 years.
Chances are inflation will push the team’s salary up enough by the end of the contract that the final four years are still a bargain at $20MM for 2017-19 and $25MM in 2020.
-C
cthabeerman - December 10, 2010
Sounds good.
someguy1 - December 10, 2010
Well...
“While I disagree with what you say sir, I’ll defend to the death your right to say it.”
I don’t really think we will bring back Andruw, but worse could be done. After all these comments it seems it’s a list of one. So thanks for the effort.
The Jason Heyward for President comment, Priceless.
MWhitexx - December 10, 2010
I do think we can all agree on one thing.
We do not want Andruw playing for the Phillies – particularly given that bandbox of a stadium they have.
carpengui - December 10, 2010
Murton also an option
Although ‘big bat’ status is a little questionable. Also not positive he could be had from Japan.
someguy1 - December 10, 2010
I like where your heads at...
but he says he loves it in Japan and would like to stay there long term. Heard the Tigers(Hanshin) have an extension in the works.
MWhitexx - December 10, 2010
Lucas
Can’t say I’m enthused about Lucas either. 28 years old and a career minor leaguer who’s never played a game in the majors despite hitting .270-.300 consistently in the minors. I know that he was with KC and they are insane (Francoeur AND Cabrera???) but still, I’d have to think that he would have gotten a shot at the majors if there was any realistic chance he could produce there. Yeah I’d rather see someone better than Lucas and Hernandez too.
I don’t know if he’s a free agent (too lazy to check) but Omar Vizquel would be cheap and at 43 he’s still got more stick than Hernandez does. By a lot. I think he’d be pretty happy with a job as a backup if he’s not returning to the White Sox.
Zontar - December 10, 2010
Vizquel
He could also fill our hole at Omar. Good thought, I haven’t heard many reasonable suggestions for this role yet. And I don’t have any to offer.
someguy1 - December 10, 2010
Omar...
Re-signed with the White Sox very early in the free agency period, I believe. Cot’s Contracts agrees, one year at $1.75MM on Nov. 2.
-C
cthabeerman - December 10, 2010
Lucas
I hear he’s an above average defender at SS with a plus arm, he can also play all the IF positions plus the OF so I at least want to see what he has in ST he could be a huge piece off the bench.
Jay212033 - December 10, 2010
Another outfielder
Seems that we are putting a lot of faith in McLouth performing at an adequate level and Prado easily adapting to the outfield. I know Shaeffer is an option, but even if he is back to being 100% healthy he hasn’t had many at bats in the last 3 years, so he should be at AAA to start the year.
Jason Heyward for President - December 10, 2010
One of JS or Matt Young should be a more than serviceable 4th OFer. If McLouth is extremely horrible, we can always just make a mid-season trade. We should at least give our young players a chance before throwing money at a position we may not need. A backup infield utility guy should be our only remaining priority before the season starts.
king of games - December 10, 2010
A midseason trade would likely cost us more, as we’d be in a more desperate situation. Signing a quality backup is good insurance for not relying on BOTH JS and MY in 2011 and might end up being the cheaper route. I think its Mather v. Young in ST and JS in AAA all year. The more I type it the better I like it.
someguy1 - December 11, 2010
Hopefully, Cliff Lee goes to the Rangers.
And then someone ELSE gives the Royals the prospects they want for Greinke,
THEN the Yankees take KK and the majority of his salary.
~
totally random……I’m sure everyone has seen that MLB game commercial with Halladay pitching to McOut. Is it just me, or would Heyward have made more sense in there? I mean, I realize that there is serious Phillies-bias there, but, yeah. I’m guessing I know how that at-bat goes down.
Chief Noc-A-Homa - December 10, 2010
I've said it once
I shall say it again Brendan Ryan and the wicked moooooostache
chicagobullies - December 10, 2010
We definitely need a backup SS,
though that should not be too hard to find, really. I would also really like another CF option. I don’t trust McLouth or Schafer at all. If only we hadn’t traded Gregor Blanco…
Jacob Peterson - December 10, 2010
New hitting coach....so that could
work well with some of Mac’s inconsistencies, and Schaf is on the p90x , so he’s going to automatically be beasting lol, and if all fails give the reigms to the new Matty Ice
chicagobullies - December 10, 2010
You’d rather have Greg than Matt Young?
king of games - December 10, 2010
Despite his overall mediocrity, it can still be said that Blanco was underrated. He played hard. And honestly, looks like a better option than either McOut or Schafer. I would love to be proven wrong in ST.
Chief Noc-A-Homa - December 10, 2010
ummmm
care to back that up with substance? or shall we all prove you wrong?
apoxonbothyourhouses - December 10, 2010
the last 2 years is the substance.
like I said, I would love to be proven wrong in ST.
Chief Noc-A-Homa - December 10, 2010
Really?
I don’t understand why people can’t state opions without others bashing them. Not sound whiney, but some commenters on this site are unduly harsh to those with differing opinions.
You want numbers?
McLouth: .190 BA, .298 OBP, .322 SLG, 7 SB, -1.3 WAR, and -14.3 UZR (Fielding/Fangraphs)
Blanco: .283 BA, .360 OBP, .367 SLG, 11 SB (10 with KC), 1.1 WAR, and -0.7 UZR
Schafer hasn’t been in the majors for a while, so I doubt you can honestly say he’ll produce better than Blanco.
Also, I am not saying that Blanco is the best option, but to bash another poster without any substance yourself makes no sense.
What are you going to compare Blanco to? McLouth last good season of over 2 years ago or the most recent season?
Jman781 - December 10, 2010
Let me also say...
That I don’t believe that Nate will be as bad next season as he was last season; however, I would feel better with a more predictable player in CF. While Blanco wouldn’t set the world on fire, he would be a safer bet in CF than either McLouth or Schafer.
Sure, McLouth may gain back some of his All Star luster, and I am rooting for that to happen, but it’s a gamble. Also, I need to see Schafer against MLB pitching before I recrown him CF of our team.
Jman781 - December 10, 2010
Thank you, Jman. I really, really suck at math.
But, there it is.
Chief Noc-A-Homa - December 10, 2010
you and who else???
MikeTrain - December 10, 2010
I would contend that we need a starting SS…
justincredubil02 - December 10, 2010
Really?...
please tell me more. I had no idea.
Mr. Sanchez - December 10, 2010
Rec'd
Scott Coleman - December 10, 2010
agreed
Doghnut - December 12, 2010
Ok, well, for starters, Gonzalez defense is declining as he moves into his mid 30s. On top of that, all of his offensive value is wrapped up in his ability to hit a ball far, which also tends to decline as one reaches their mid 30s.
To top it all off, he is a terrible batter, posting a career OBP abou 35 points below the league average. More of his plate appeances result in outs than just about any other shortstop in the game.
Should I go on?
justincredubil02 - December 13, 2010
I know you have a right to voice your opinion
And usually I enjoy your rants, even the ones that make no sense. But can you just not do this one anymore? Pretty please?
Doghnut - December 13, 2010
Yes, please do. It’s very enlightening and I’ve never heard any of it before 1000 times.
Mr. Sanchez - December 13, 2010
I really don't want to get in the SS debate,
But I would like your short list of SS dramatically better (overall – talent/age/attitude, not considering price) compared to Gonzo.
To set the bar for what is considered dramatically better than Gonzo (and avoid stirring the pot), let’s make Yunel the best SS that doesn’t make this list.
someguy1 - December 10, 2010
I could start by naming most shortstops in the NL, then move on to name most in the AL.
justincredubil02 - December 11, 2010
Reread, please.
Yunel is the best that doesn’t make this list so really it’s a list of SS better than Yunel.
someguy1 - December 11, 2010
That makes no sense.
I want you to list all of the numbers between 1 and 100 that are higher than 2 but you have to stat with 98.
justincredubil02 - December 12, 2010
Ooh, list of names, can I play
OBP, FTW
Mr. Sanchez - December 12, 2010
It does make sense.
Assuming that you think Yunel is better than Gonzo.
someguy1 - December 12, 2010
No, it doesn’t.
justincredubil02 - December 13, 2010
I contend...
That Frank Wren doesn’t give a fuck about what you think on this matter.
/end debate
-C
cthabeerman - December 10, 2010
Rec'd
Scott Coleman - December 10, 2010
wrecked so f*king hard
TonyAlmeyda - December 10, 2010
hahah
SouthernPanther - December 10, 2010
This is truth.
However, he gives just as few fucks about what anyone thinks on this matter, not just me. It’s called being fans. We have a right t voice our opinions on matters.
But hey, you are probably right. Alex Gonzalez will be the best shortstop in the NL this year. It doesn’t matter that he will not get on base in 70.5% of his plate appearances, or that he is old and declining defensively. He will hit DINGERZ (except when he plays in Turner Field, as we saw last season.)
justincredubil02 - December 11, 2010
I saw him hit one at Turner.
Was awesome.
someguy1 - December 11, 2010
I hope you caught that bitch on camera.
justincredubil02 - December 12, 2010
Couple people did.
someguy1 - December 12, 2010
Centerfield
Although a more credible option at ss would be desirable, I believe its far more important at this point to have a reliable, proven centerfield alternative to McLouth. With Nate, its best to plan for the worst while hoping for the best. It would be a mistake to count too heavily on Jordan Schafer or Matt Young for obvious reasons. Because the Braves were able to pick up Uggla on the cheap, they are in an excellent position to trade for a legit centerfielder. The market is thin, but I believe that patience and persistence will be rewarded. Frank Wren has proven to be an extraordinarily opportunistic GM.
icepick - December 10, 2010
Agree with the idea
of adding a CF, but not to backup Nate necessarily, more to backup Chipper. If he goes down, we have no left fielder and our everyday CF will be either JS or MYoung. I’d rather keep JS in AAA all year, and while it’d be nice to see MYoung get a chance, I don’t feel comfortable relying on him to replace Chipper in the lineup.
someguy1 - December 10, 2010
I have no idea how he will do in MLB if given the chance, but if his OB% is close to what he does in AAA he’d be a drop off but not a huge drop off. Chipper obviously is better tha M Young, but M Young deserves a chance.
bighop - December 10, 2010
Yep.
I think that may increase his odds of getting that chance, if a better substitute can’t be had.
someguy1 - December 10, 2010
Big IF
If Schafer is the CF of the future, it would be nice to have M Young get some experience. 2012 will see a bunch of deals need to be made, having Schafer and Young able to fill 2 of those holes would be a big help.
bighop - December 10, 2010
Good point.
If we can showcase Young in CF this year while JS develops it might raise his value for a trade. Hadn’t thought of that.
someguy1 - December 10, 2010
I wasn’t talking about trading him, I meant JS in CF, MY as 4th OF in 2012. Sorry, I wasn’t clear.
bighop - December 10, 2010
Given how big an if Schafer is for 2012, I’d like to give him a full year (injury-free) in AAA and let him win the job next spring, kinda like Freeman this year.
I remember they did a similar thing with Hanson, with someone (can’t remember who, Medlen?) getting the call in 2009 early on over Hanson. I could see it happening with MY and JS the same way.
someguy1 - December 10, 2010
you're right on Meds...
started the year with Jojo, he failed and turned it over to Medlen (who was doing better than Hanson in AAA at the time). He struggled, then Tommy took over.
Mr. Sanchez - December 10, 2010
Still missed the 2012 part
Agreed.
someguy1 - December 10, 2010
Agreed, although – as others have accurated pointed out – the problem in the outfield is not limilted to McLouth’s bad defense and erraticly unpredictable offense. If Chipper is injured (which causes Prado to come in to 3B) or if Prado is injured, we are stuck with Hinske / Mather in LF, unless of course McLouth (if he’s hitting) moves over to LF from CF.
So, a high quality defensive CF is extremely important, IMO.
fandave - December 10, 2010
Yep
That’s why I was sad to see Gwynn sign with LA. I know he offers no offense at all, but as an excellent defensive outfielder I thought he would be a good option for the Braves.
Jason Heyward for President - December 10, 2010
..
You should really look into getting a new name….
heyward4prez - December 12, 2010 via mobile
there is some precedent here…you two must film a fight to the death, who dies gets the name…
because only the person who truly wants the name would die for it.
and so it shall be.
Swo12bv - December 12, 2010
matt young
don’t see why matt young would be a mistake ‘for obvious reasons’. Wren has
spoken about him several times admiring his tenacity. i am guessing matt will
get a full opportunity to win a spot during ST. he has earned it. If he sticks and
makes the transition he could easily push Nate and give us some genuine
speed at the top, some walks, contact hitting and decent fielding. at worst he
comes off the bench and is replaced in season through a trade. prado is the
man yet not a true 1 hitter, rather ideal in the 2 slot.
off topic Sherrill was definitely injured last season. spent some time on the DL
and 2 rehab assignments. Braves may feel he is healthy or hoping so, a reasonable
gamble with upside payoff that has worked before.
sealift67 - December 10, 2010
Given our situation...
…with the back-up 2B/3B being the left field starter, we need five outfielders anyway. My thought of signing Andruw would include Young being on the roster as well.
cavebird - December 10, 2010
Ross
Andruw
Hinske
Young/Mather
Diory/someone?
So Young’s competition in spring is Mather? I like it. Makes sense.
someguy1 - December 10, 2010
That’s our bench BTW.
someguy1 - December 10, 2010
Young/Mather/JS
Diory/Hicks/FA
king of games - December 10, 2010
Hate to be this guy, but...
“(because just about every slugger in the NL East is a lefty)”
2010 NL East Slugging percentage leader board:
1) Adam Dunn (lefty, but not there anymore)
2) Jayson Werth (righty)
3) Ryan Zimmerman (righty)
4) Dan Uggla (righty, but to be fair on our team now)
5) Ryan Howard (lefty)
6) David Wright (righty)
7) Hanley Ramirez (righty)
Chase Utley would normally be in that mix too I guess, but simply not true
granman29 - December 10, 2010
I guess you could go a little further and add guys who are/could be power threats.
Raul Ibanez
Dominic Brown
Jose Reyes(s)
Carlos Beltran(s)
Logan Morrison
Just put the switch hitters because they are better LH. But your correct in saying that there are many more RH hitters who are threats in the East now than in the past guys like Jason Bay, Gaby Sanchez, Jayson Werth, and Ryan Zimmerman in the division.
MWhitexx - December 10, 2010
One thing I have been thinking about.
What happens if the Yankmees don’t get Lee? Will they make a trade with KC? I doubt it, they are too leery(sp?) of the kids Social issues. So, what about coming to us and going after JJ? Wonder what we could get from them? Not saying that can happen, but it is interesting to consider for off the wall possibilities.
jdmarine - December 10, 2010
Especially given the risks you note above, I just don’t believe if the Yankees would blow up their entire farm system to get Grienke… and by all reports, that’s what it would take to git ’r done.
So your scenario about JJ actually has some merit. I’ll bite: Gardner for sure — and take back McLouth. That’s a good start. In addition, if they have a good blocked utility infielder (I don’t know), then that might set us up for the next few years.
carpengui - December 10, 2010
Works for me.
I think JJ is the main piece to offer, and might use a package including him to get another superstar OF, SS, or SP.
someguy1 - December 10, 2010
With Crawford off the board
They may walk away with no big signing if they lose Lee. I wonder if that will prompt them to go after Greinke.
Doghnut - December 12, 2010
I dont think they have the prospects to get Grienke…all they can really offer is Montero…which isnt enough…unless they throw out Gardner or somebody like that, which would create a hole in the lineup that they can’t fill…
If they don’t sign Lee, they are pretty much screwed.
Swo12bv - December 12, 2010
Gardner won't work...
The Royals already have a run-producing, middle of the order switch-hitter playing CF.
Long live Melky!!
-C
cthabeerman - December 13, 2010
They also have a good defensive, leadoff type for LF/CF...
Go Greg White!
Mr. Sanchez - December 13, 2010
Guzman
A piss poor attitude…very limited power…and zero range at SS or 2B…destructive clubhouse presence…not Brave material.
TomahawkGuy - December 10, 2010
what?
MikeTrain - December 10, 2010
Has Edgar Renteria signed? What's he wanting?
RH bat for the bench, he’s got a positive past here and with Fredi and is known here as a good locker room presence, quality hitter with clutch success.
And while I know his defense is considered suspect, look at his UZR and UZR/150 #s the last two seasons in San Fran, both positive.
http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=1178&position=SS#fieldingadvanced
I think he could definitely backup SS, (and if you can play SS, you can play 3B and 2B), if not challenge Alex Gonzalez for the starting SS spot.
Mr. Sanchez - December 10, 2010
That's is actually an interesting idea to me.
However, I don’t really think he could be had for less than say 3.5? What do you think?
jdmarine - December 10, 2010
Ugh....That's is....
How about That is?
jdmarine - December 10, 2010
According to this, the Giants offered 1 yr, $1m...
if we can move at least $3m of KK, I’d love to split the difference between Edgar and Andruw. $1.5m each to come off the bench would be pretty nice, and give us some very good depth of Edgar, Andruw, Ross, Hinske, and then Conrad, Diory, Hicks, Schafer, Young, etc fight for that last spot, or can be injury replacements getting work in AAA until needed.
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/blogs/giants/detail?entry_id=78726
Mr. Sanchez - December 10, 2010
Definitely possible
but like you said, the defense is questionable. I’d rather have a + defender in my infielder backup, and my PH ability in the OF. Not my favorite, but seems like it could be a good fit.
someguy1 - December 10, 2010
I mentioned this in one of the Winter Meeting Threads a few days ago. I’m all for it.
king of games - December 10, 2010
I like that much experience on the bench
bighop - December 10, 2010
I like this idea
HEYJUDE - December 10, 2010
Wow... that's a big slap to ER
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2010/12/09/SPO81GOFRT.DTL#ixzz17kebgFA3
carpengui - December 10, 2010
I like the idea...
But I have a gut feeling he’ll try to play up the WS MVP and get more money from someone. Who knows?
Jman781 - December 10, 2010
Edgar
The Reenteria idea has real possibilities…if he can be had for KK savings money?
TomahawkGuy - December 10, 2010
Just hilarious
Melky to sign with the Royals. I find that so funny
Kineticist - December 10, 2010 via mobile
But...
Wholly not unexpected…
Jman781 - December 10, 2010
That's why small market teams can't compete.
Apparently, living in a small market makes you stupid.
Tarkus - December 10, 2010
They say there’s no such thing as a bad 1-year contract. Melky will certainly put that to the test.
king of games - December 10, 2010
In KC he’ll have plenty of fatty foods available to further “round” things out.
bighop - December 10, 2010
Zing! If that comment were minor characters from Hamlet, it would be Rosencrantz and GuildenBURN!
TheLetter2 - December 10, 2010
That’s too funny
bighop - December 10, 2010
Boom goes the dynamite…he went shakespearian on yo ass
Swo12bv - December 10, 2010
In all fairness...
I’d be so much fatter if I lived in KC (and much more afraid for my life on a daily basis)…Barbecue (and thugs)…
-C
cthabeerman - December 10, 2010
Am I wrong in assuming Mather will be on the big league roster?
If he is, by my count we have room for 2 more position players. One of those needs to be a backup SS, so if we sign that guy plus another CFer, that leaves no room for any of our young guys (JS, Young, Conrad, etc.).
king of games - December 10, 2010
I assume Mather still has to win the job. But it does look like he’s a front runner for it. I just see Mather and Hinske doing the same things and Hinske is better. Mather plays more OF positions though.
bighop - December 10, 2010
Mather may also be the primary backup for Freddie at 1B.
fandave - December 10, 2010
Hinske?
bighop - December 10, 2010
Ok, I thought we had signed him to a decent sized big league deal. If that’s the case, I’m all for signing another OFer and Utility guy.
king of games - December 10, 2010
Maybe the Cards will trade Pujols for KK straight up then we can move Freddie to SS
Sorry, just had to throw that in. The trade “ideas” that get tossed around here sometimes just make me LMAO. Now that Minaya is gone the # of MLB GMs that are plain stupid is a pretty low total.
blairblink - December 10, 2010
In fairness...
I would have laughed at an Uggla for Omar/Dunn suggestion, too.
Jman781 - December 10, 2010
Well...
not if it was clear that Uggla was simply a rental. I don’t think you realize how good of a prospect Mike Dunn is…he was great when he got his chance. The Marlins got a pretty good prospect, but because of our pitching depth it didn’t hurt all that much.
Where the Marlins went wrong was underestimating Uggla’s signability…especially with us.
TBuzz - December 10, 2010 via mobile
I wouldn’t say Dunn was great , but he was definitely solid, and he’ll probably kill us for years to come.
king of games - December 10, 2010
that has more to do with our lefty heavy lineup and the fact that Dunn is a dominate LOOGY, at worst (technically his worst is something similar to Ankiel where he can’t find the strikezone, but we’ll forego that conclusion)
Swo12bv - December 10, 2010
One thing u left off the check list......
Trade Lowe and if we can’t, then trade KK
Braves24 - December 10, 2010 via mobile
when is the top 25 list coming out?
ruxsin - December 10, 2010
No to Ryan and Andruw
Andruw is done. He’s overweight, weak contact hitter, and his power is a fraction of what it use to be. Just no, we need a DEFENSIVE OF who can play CF.
As for Brendan Ryan… Why? Someone just call Rafael Belliard, he’s got a better bat than him. Someone call Khalil Greene while their at it.
Hairston would be a decent add, but at the same time, why? Diory can handle 3b/ss/2b duties when asked and proved to be a good contact hitter in AAA but has never been given enough AB’s consistently to show that.
The obvious starting 8 + 5 man rotation with Minor
Bullpen
Sherril
Linebrink
Proctor
Kimbrel
Venters
Moylan
EOF
Bench
Ross
Mather
Hinske
JS/Young
Diory
There’s no room for another bat when you look at it, unless we drop a bullpen arm. Also, who’s our longman if a starter gets shelled??
murph35 - December 10, 2010 via mobile
I’m perfectly fine with our roster as it is. A couple interesting battles in ST for the bench spots will be fun to watch. I wouldn’t be upset if we got an upgrade over Diory/Hicks for our backup SS, but it’s not going to make or break this team for next year.
king of games - December 10, 2010
So you'd rather have Mather than Andruw?
Why?
someguy1 - December 10, 2010
Mather
Younger, plays all 4 corners, would control his services for 4 (or so) more years. He also has good power and decent walk rates. Average(ish) defender.
I’d like to see what he can do.
TheBravestWay To Block A Decent Prospect - December 10, 2010
Should've made it more clear.
I think both have potential and given Andruw’s history, I might lean toward Mather overall for a team choice going forward.
I meant for that bench spot in 2011, Andruw’s a much better option than Mather. I agree that Mather is good and will suffice if need be. I’m curious to see how he works out as well, but I’d rather it be in AAA with JS.
someguy1 - December 10, 2010
Bottom line is we don’t have to choose between controlling Mather and signing Andruw. I think Andruw’s potential in 2011 is significantly better than Mather.
someguy1 - December 10, 2010
I thought Mather was out of options
and would have to be exposed to wavers to go to AAA.
If that isn’t the case then I would rather have Andrew.
TheBravestWay To Block A Decent Prospect - December 10, 2010
Not really sure how waivers work.
But we claimed him on waivers, so you might be right about having to put him on the ML club.
someguy1 - December 11, 2010
basically we claimed him off waivers and put him on our 40 man roster. He is out of options, so if we try to send him to AAA, we need to designate him for assignmnet, if he declines to do so then he is exposed to waivers.
i think that is how it would work.
Swo12bv - December 11, 2010
?
If they decline, do they forfeit the remaining money owed to them?
Mr. Sanchez - December 11, 2010
A player with 5 years of Major League service time who refuses assignment to the minors still receives the money owed to him in his contract. A player with less service time does not.
A player with less than 3 years of MLB Service Time can be assigned to the minors without his consent once.
AFAIK Mather has not been assigned to the minors without his consent before. So we could send him to the minors but he would have to clear waivers first because he is out of options.
Lennox - December 11, 2010
Thanks Lennox
Mr. Sanchez - December 12, 2010
But can we start him in AAA? Can he stay on the 40-man in AAA to start the year and be called up if needed? This is what I assumed.
Then, if we send him to AAA he has to clear waivers.
someguy1 - December 11, 2010
From what I could scrape off the internet, it seems Mather still has to make the team in ST. This would imply that we can start him in AAA without exposing him to waivers.
And if he didn’t make the team and someone claims him we break even anyways, just without “Joey Bombs”. I also discovered his nickname.
So I guess he’s really just an insurance in case we can’t sign a better option without sacrificing anything. Worst case, we don’t sign a better FA, Mather doesn’t make the team, somebody claims him and we’re right back where we started.
someguy1 - December 11, 2010
How is Khalil Greene's health?
If he’s good enough to play, I’d love to give a chance in spring training. Maybe let him play some down the road in Gwinnett as he rebuilds whatever he’s lost.
Mr. Sanchez - December 10, 2010
Good idea
It seems he has always been a pest when he’s played against us. If healthy, good option.
HEYJUDE - December 10, 2010
i thought a lot of his troubles were mental. did he has some sort of stress syndrome or something.
Swo12bv - December 10, 2010
social anxiety is what they called it...
but if he has done things in that year off to get his head back in a better place, then I’d be all for adding him on a cheap try. If he doesn’t come to camp, void it same as the Rangers. But if he wanted a chance, I’d give it to him, cheaply (minor league non-guaranteed deal).
Mr. Sanchez - December 10, 2010
AJ is still a better defender than McLouth in CF.
justincredubil02 - December 11, 2010
I agree completely
JonnyBravesFan - December 11, 2010 via mobile
Does anyone think that McOut will turn back into MClout?
…..I mean I don’t know, He was playing so bad, it was like he was throwing games, compared to what I’ve seen from him in past years. Even BEFORE Heyward knocked him into 2011, he was displaying absolutely no D what-so-ever, and couldn’t hit the side of a fucking barn with a bat. Maybe it’s his sucky, secret twin, and Nate is off chilling somewhere. But that guy wasn’t the Nate McLouth from years past.
Chief Noc-A-Homa - December 10, 2010
no because McOut is stupid and not at all interesting in terms of a nickname.
he will continue to be McLouth and probably be the same player he was in 2009.
Swo12bv - December 10, 2010
Jeff Keppinger
Wouldn’t mind having him. Might not be the best defensive SS out there but his glove is a hell of a lot better than Conrad’s and his offensive numbers are similar to Infante’s. Rumor is that the Astros are looking to cut some payroll and trade him. With him being a Georgia boy, I could see him fitting in nicely.
Jake Humphrey - December 10, 2010
Not a terrible option
I’d be OK with it as a last ditch effort, but without giving up any players I’ve heard of.
someguy1 - December 11, 2010
from the way i read DOBand Bowman's article....
there is no money left and extra pieces will have to come via trade.
ryan c - December 11, 2010
yeah out of $
we will have to dump kawakami before we can make a deal for an infielder.
Josh Barnett - December 11, 2010
1st get rid of KK
Then we should offer either Renteria a contract since it would be cheap and he can hit the ball some, then find a cheap backup CF option(possibly in a trade for KK
cjones2010 - December 11, 2010
Brendan Ryan traded for nothing.
http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker&utm_campaign=Linker&id=cleto-001mai<a
Sidbreamsknees - December 12, 2010
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