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Talking Chop

Braves 2010 Season in Review: Kris Medlen

Coming into the 2010 season, not a whole lot was expected from Kris Medlen. He was basically assigned as our long-man in the bullpen, but with him behind Hudson, Hanson, Lowe, Jurrjens and Kawakami, most figured Kris would only make a spot-start or two and mainly pitch in the blowout games when Bobby needed to keep the 'pen fresh. Little did we know that Medlen would turn out to be our 3rd best starting pitcher in 2010.

After spending the first two months of the season in the bullpen, Medlen got his chance to start after Jair Jurrjens went down with a serious hamstring injury. In his starting debut of 2010, Kris gutted out 4.1 innings in Philadelphia and despite allowing nine hits, only allowed one run to the potent Phillies lineup. He then shut the Mets down in his following start and people had really started to take notice of our little righty with his devastating change-up.

After breezing through June with a 3-0 record, the Braves were faced with a dilemma. With Jair Jurrjens ready to return from the disabled list, would Kris Medlen or Kenshin Kawakami stay as our 5th starter? On the surface, it seemed like a simple move. Medlen was pitching better than Kawakami, and more importantly, the Braves were winning when Kris was on the mound. There were concerns though; Medlen hadn't consistently pitched as a starter in more than a year and the Braves were paying Kawakami much more money to pitch in the rotation. Would the Braves really send a guy making $7M a year to the 'pen in favor of a 24-year old kid who had started off well? The debate raged on, but Bobby Cox ultimately made the decision: Kris Medlen was our new #5 starter.

Star-divide

Medlen, once again, breezed through the month of July and was consistently giving the Braves a solid performance whenever he took the mound. To be perfectly honest, I only felt safer with Hanson or Hudson on the mound than I did with Medlen over the summer. His fastball snuck up on hitters and paired with his filthy change-up, it made for a lethal combination. He would throw in his curveball just to keep the hitters honest, and most couldn't touch him. The move to make Medlen a starting pitcher was proving to be a brilliant choice by Bobby and the coaches.

Unfortunately for Medlen and the Braves, the un-thinkable happened on August 1st. After breezing through four innings against the Mets, Medlen threw a 2-1 fastball and immediately bent over in pain on the followthrough. He tried to shake it off and continue pitching, but the training staff wouldn't have any of it as Medlen held his elbow while walking off the field. After a few tests, it was concluded that Kris would have to undergo season-ending Tommy John surgery to repair the ligaments in his right elbow. It would turn out to be a huge blow to the Braves' 2010 season.

At first, the impact of the injury didn't really hurt Atlanta all that much. The Braves called up top-prospect Mike Minor from Triple-A Gwinnett to take Medlen's place and it didn't leave much of a drop-off. But it wouldn't last for long, and it was in September when the injury would really take it's toll. With Jair Jurrjens hurt once again and Mike Minor fatiguing down the stretch, the Braves' pitching staff was in serious trouble. Instead of having Medlen take the mound in the critical last few weeks of the season, they were forced to call Brandon Beachy up from the Minors. While he wasn't bad in his few starts, he certainly wasn't Kris Medlen and the Braves felt the effects. They managed to sneak into the playoffs with a patch-work rotation, but it wasn't nearly as strong as it had been over the summer.

Stat of the Year: The Braves were 13-1 when Kris Medlen started the game. That's incredible.

Stat of the Year #2: Kris Medlen hates walking guys. Here were the number of walks in each of his fourteen starts: 0, 2, 2, 2, 0, 0, 1, 2, 1, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1. That breaks down to an astonishing BB/9 rate of 1.33 and K/BB ratio of 4.16. No wonder we missed Medlen so much down the stretch...

2011 and Beyond:

Unfortunately for the Braves, the very earliest we'll see Kris on the mound would be in August. There's basically no chance we trade him during the off-season and my guess is that he'll return to the bullpen once he recovers from Tommy John Surgery. We can only hope Meds returns to his stellar form from 2010.

0 recs  |  25 comments

Comments

IMO

Losing Meds to injury was almost as devastating as losing Chipper. Heres to a speedy recovery and a return to the mound ASAP.

Didn’t Medlen get injured in a game against the Reds? I could have sworn…

oh wait

he got injured in that game, but still made his next start. nevermind. It was August 4th, not the 1st. just wanted to point that out.

sucks

Kris Medlen deserved a better finish to the regular season as did much of the Braves; so crazy that we could be easily in the World Series tonight if we would have had a healthy Chipper, Prado, Wagner (injured in NLDS) and lastly Medlen. Of course we wouldn’t have gotten to see B. Beachy and or M. Minor if Medlen and JJ haven’t gotten hurt so I guess all things have a way of working out for the best.

Rare optimistic perspective from you.

Somebody hack your TC?

It's a shame

that he got hurt when he did, because this could’ve been his big opportunity. Unfortunately, barring an injury, he’s almost certain to return to the bullpen next year, and could possibly never get a chance to be a regular starter again.

Not next year definitely, unless injuries happen again. He shouldn’t be starting in 2011 unless necessary- limit him to about 15 innings out of the pen in Septermber, to get him used to the grind for 2012.

I see him getting another chance if he recovers fully, he deserves it. JJ and Lowe are going to leave at some point.

both Lowe and Hudson’s contracts are up at the end of the 2012 season – although the team does have a option to bring Hudson back in ’13. He will be hitting the age of 38 in July of ’13.

Hudson is a smart pitcher though, he could probably pitch well into his 40s like Smoltz and Clemens.

Clemens pitched that long for different reasons...

not saying he didn’t become a smart pitcher, but something else may have been the cause of his longevity.

I miss Meds so much, hope he comes back even better than before like Hudson. :)

At some point pitchers are probably just going to get TJS preemptively. Once they recover they’re usually better than before.

Damnit. This World Series is really pissing me off.

We should be there. This was our season. Fuck losing a future hall of famer, team MVP, our #3 and #5 starting pitchers and our 2nd best lefty out of the ‘pen in Bobby Cox’s final season. This was our year, and the injuries killed us.

Ugh. Not sure why I’m so pissed, but something hit me tonight.

It's cool. Feel the same way

Seeing the Giants manhandle the Rangers and knowing that throughout our series with them, their bats were never that good against our pitching and that we totally had a shot (even with lousy hitting).

Also, the fact that Brian McCann was clutch in the All-Star game and the Giants are enjoying the home-field advantage instead of the Braves doesn’t help

But whatever. Injuries happen. This year just wasn’t it for Cox’s last stand. Braves must’ve used up all their luck with the late-inning magic and not the injury bug.

this 100000000000000000000 times...

everything seemed so magical this season… i really thought the B mac double was the omen of what was gonna happen in the playoffs…. and the fact that our offense, even with all the problems we had, was equal or even better than the giants…

and don’t forget Cody Ross….

Especially when everyone of our games against them was 1 run. That’s what kills me more than anything. Also the fact that minus the errors we would have beat them, meaning with Chipper and Prado.

I guess the one thing to take from all of this is that the Braves pitching was clearly the toughest test for the Giants all post-season.

so do we get to keep these guys?

Medlen, Minor, and Beachy… if so the future looks pretty promising.

With the three of them, plus JJ and Hanson, plus Lowe and Hudson under contract through 2012, and with Teheran, Delgado and others knocking on the door, the Braves have to trade 1 or maybe even 2 starting pitchers at some point. Who and when are the big questions.

We have an obvious and glaring OF weakness now, but with Meds out for most of ’11 and Minor and Beachy largely untested, my bet is Wren deals none of them until mid-season at the earliest.

Sucks for Medlin

I love this kid. He is a gamer, and a really good pitcher. He knows how to pitch and he seems to be the kind of guy that listens to those around him in order to get better.

That said, I don’t think his injury had anything to with the outcome of the season. Injuries that affected the Braves at the plate were much more devastating b/c any way you slice it, the way the Phillies hit and pitched down the stretch there was no way to hold them off scoring only 3 or so runs on average a game.

 I guess there could be an argument that he would have been coming out of the pen to get a crucial out in game 3 or 4, but b/c of Bobby’s reliance on the LHP vs LHH matchup, I don’t think in the end Medlin’s injury had any effect on the outcome of the season.

It certainly happens. I wish Medlen a speedy recovery and a healthy future! He is a really good pitcher. I got to see his debut and while he wasn’t great, you could see he had the stuff to be a big league pitcher. I do agree that he needs a legit 3rd pitch and he could be devastating out there.

If he’s anything near what he was this year and last he is gonna make one hell of a late season addition next year. Damn sure beats the seemingly yearly trade for a bullpen arm we seem to make.

Meds was my favorite pitcher this year...

Late season DLowe and not-late season Huddy were close runners up, but something about Medlen felt special… like we’d stumbled across our next star. When he went down I was more disappointed than when chipper tore his ACL… A “Chip is on his way out, Meds is the future” kinda thing.

Well, here’s to a Huddy-esque recovery!

I have nothing numerical to add...

..but I would like to say Medlen rocks.

Here’s to hoping Medlen comes back stronger for 2011 and then regains his top form in 2012 like Hudson did this year after his surgery.

So that huge debate

in the summer about keeping medlen out of the rotation to save his arm is “bullshit”…. can finally rest.

http://www.talkingchop.com/2010/6/21/1528501/taking-medlen-out-of-the-rotation

gg 40 IP increase.

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