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Talking Chop

Braves 2009 Season in Review: Kenshin Kawakami

Atlanta Braves starter Kenshin Kawakami took one month of the regular season to adjust to American baseball. His April starts produced a 7.06 ERA. While it was only four starts, including one really bad start, Kawakami made the adjustments and compiled ERAs of 3.03 and 3.33 the next two months, but because he still wasn't going deep in those games, he only won 3 of 10 starts in May and June. For the year he had the lowest quality start percentage of any of the Braves regular starters, as only half of his starts were considered quality starts.

The real theme of Kawakami's season was that his good games were really good, and his bad games were really bad. In his 12 losses he compiled a 6.24 ERA, giving up 74 hits in 57.2 innings; but in his 7 wins he had a 2.00 ERA and held opponents to a .196 batting average. He became known as the "dragon slayer" for his ability to pitch his best when his opposite on the mound was one of the top pitchers in baseball.

Star-divide

This "dragon slaying" started in Toronto when KK tossed 8 innings of 3-hit ball to best Roy Halladay. He out dueled fellow countryman Daisuke Matsuzaka a month later with 6 strong innings. He matched Clayton Kershaw pitch for pitch with 7 scoreless innings as the Braves bullpen picked up the win. Then he took down Johan Santana and the Mets by tossing 7 innings of 1-run ball. And in his last start he knocked of the Marlins ace Josh Johnson.

In his final month as a starter (August), Kawakami pitched his best; compiling a 2.87 ERA and 5 of his 6 starts were quality starts. The Braves then made him a reliever for the rest of the year to allow Tim Hudson to join the starting rotation. Kawakami made a good adjustment to the pen. While he added two losses to his record, he did compile a 2.63 ERA as a reliever.

Overall KK finished with a respectable 3.86 ERA, but had a 4.21 FIP, so he may not have pitched as well as his ERA shows, or his bad games and his bad first month could have distorted the FIP number. He had the highest walk percentage and extra-base hit percentage of any of the Braves starters, but he received the lowest run support, so that 6-and-12 record looks bad, but it probably should have been a little better.

It's doubtful that the Braves choose to trade Kawakami this off-season, as they currently have 6 starters and one will likely have to go. He showed last year that he can be effective as a major league starter, and he showed that he can adjust to the challenges of the big league game. He knows now what it will take for him to pitch every five days (in Japan he pitched every 6 days), and what it will take to approach 200 innings as a starter. We saw that he was a tireless worker who takes pride in his craft, and he should arrive next spring ready to re-assume his role in the starting rotation and improve upon his positive games of 2009. Perhaps it would help if the Braves put him in the position in the rotation to face the other team's number-1 starter every time out.

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Comments

The besting of

Halladay, might have been the best pitched game I have ever seen.

I was glad I was at that game too. I’m a huge Halladay fan, so it was a fun game to watch from both sides.

Hopefully Kenshin won’t be one of those Jekyl and Hyde pitchers. Hope he has a great year next year. I really enjoy watching him pitch.

I try not to be bias for my Braves players, but hot damn the whole starting pitching staff is f*cking awesome.

The runof dominating starts against other teams’ aces was really quite extraordinary and suggests his true capabilities.

Even as a veteran star in Japan, making the transition to the majors and American culture had to be a big adjustment. I fully expect Wren to hold onto him and see what he can do with the experience of a full ML season under his belt.

I liked what I saw this year

He showed flashes of brilliance, and really seemed motivated by tougher opponents, so if he can harness that level of his game, he’ll be very good for us.

I love KK. If Lowe is in the rotation over KK this coming season, i will not be happy. KK does not need to be wasted in the ’pen.

If we don’t use him as a starter, I’d rather just trade him. I hate to see talent like that just waste away.

he seems to like pressure...

could he work as a closer—maybe just refine it to the cutter and curve?

KK was a really nice surprise this season

Wasn’t sure what to expect, and was worried after April, but I am really happy with what he did this season. I have to wonder, would it be good to get another Japanese player around to help him feel more comfortable. Kobayashi is available and should be relatively cheap, and the Braves need some decent bullpen arms anyway…. Thoughts?

KK

I’ve been saying since people have brought up trading KK that he pitches his best against the other top starters for whatever reason he pitches in big games very well .

I believe that tendancy has been duly noted by many almost everyone.

lol…i had the same thought…

i remember in his press conference he described his pitching style as “putting his soul into pitches”. That kind of left me thinking, “what the hell have we gotten ourself into.” But KK showed me alot, and he quickly became one of my favorites. And damn, every one of his autograph cards goes for at least $30 on ebay.

Japanese collectors are crazy

Also, he throws my favorite pitch on the Braves: That Bugs Bunny 68 MPH curveball that NO ONE ever swings at, but always falls in for a strike.

He does have a nasty hook
I'm starting to think he could do well in closing...

he doesn’t have an overwhelming pitch, but he’s a good pitcher, with a good arsenal and decent command, and he apparently thrives in pressure and big situations. Let him work the wins, maybe simplify his pitches to the big curve and his cutter, and unlike Lowe his salary would be much more in line with other closers.

I don’t want to say he would do well at the back of the bullpen, but I think he certainly is capable of it.

I don't really think there is any doubt he can close

My stance is that if a guy is a decent pitcher at all, he can close. KK obviously has the ability, and I don’t think it takes any more mental pressure than starting to close.

Would his arm be able to take it?

I think the idea of him closing is intriguing, but can his arm withstand the stress of throwing back to back days or every other night. Remember that he spent this year adjusting from a six man rotation to a five man rotation, so it may be asking to much to move him to the bullpen full time. I know he pitched out of the bullpen this year, but I do not recall him pitching back to back days at any point. With that said, I am glad that we have KK in our arsenal for next year because I think he will be a valuable piece to the puzzle.

Not related

but do the Winter Meetings start tomorrow??

Its the GM meetings. The Winter meetings are usually in December sometime.

Decent arm

Decent guy signed for a reasonable deal; not really expecting him to do much but in alot of the games he pitched he looked really good but of course we gave him no offense. KK is a #4 or #5 starter on our club and doesn’t really offer much as trade bait so I believe he will be retained for next year. Simply good insurance for our rotation.

Braves are the best team in the NL East 2010 .

I wish

the Braves could be called the best team in the NL East in 2010. But with the Phillies having gotten to the WS again this year, you have to say its the Phillies until proven otherwise. It used to drive me nuts when Mets fans did that during the 14 years that the Braves WERE the best team in the NL East.

Don't wish, have faith.

First off, Met and Yankess fans are one in the same. For god sake all they do is change caps and cheer for whomever is in the postseason. As for the Braves “they will be the best team in the NL East in 2010”. Nothing wrong with being excited and ready for the new baseball season and offseason signings Andy. Come on don’t be such a negative nancy. Get excited and get ready for a great whole new season.

Go Braves.

I’m excited, and I have faith. I guess I just think there is a decorum to follow. Give the Phillies their due. Now, if, and I do hope this happens, the Braves take the NL East, then they are the team to beat in the NL East.

If you don’t believe this, that’s fine. I just won’t go out and say it, first because I don’t want to jinx the team, and also because the Braves have to go out and prove it.

Don't worry, you are right.

For starters, Holty Panthers Fan stated that the Braves are the best team in the NL East in 2010. Since it isn’t 2010 yet, no team can be the best team in the NL East in 2010 in the present tense. Whether we will be is yet to be seen, but, yeah, as the two time defending pennant winners, the Phillies hold the crown until the games start.

The way things are shaping up we will have the best rotation in our division next season. But unfortunately you need more than that to make a team. Our offense doesn’t match up with the Phillie’s who posess the best line-up in the NL. We still have no idea which of our SP is going to be traded. And more importantly, we don’t know what we will get in return for that pitcher.

I like the direction we are headed but I agree with Andy. You can’t say we are the team to beat in the NLE when the two time defending NL Champs are in our division.

we had the best rotation, BY FAR...

last year compared to our division rivals and look where it got us. As for next year, let’s see how the rest of the off season plays out, and then what happens in the season as far as who improves, who regresses, who gets hurt, and who stays healthy.

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