I suppose in most polls there should be a "margin of error." We'll have to start creating one for the Atlanta Braves Fan Confidence Poll. Ever since the end of the season the poll has steadily risen above 70%, but it dropped this week from 76% to 74%. There's no discernible reason for this drop, so I'm inclined to just call it static. Perhaps it's appropriate to create some sort of plus-or-minus two-point margin of error for the poll. I'll have to read up on how margins of errors are generated at some point unless someone can comment on that.
Overall though, the off-season is moving sleepily along. Aside from the minor league free agent here or there, there really hasn't been any action to speak of. The arbitration offering deadline is tomorrow, and the Winter Meetings get started next Monday, so this should just be the calm before the storm.
0 recs | 10 comments
That isn’t a margin of error. It’s just noise probably due to a small number of voters who had voted higher than 7 not voting due to the holidays.
redwards95 - November 30, 2009
Noise is the same thing as margin of error. It’s like if a change in results from an experiment to another is enough to believe there is a real difference or if it’s just random variation or just ‘noise’.
bbxxj - November 30, 2009 via mobile
i forgot to vote, so my 8 might have raised it a little.
10-4 - November 30, 2009
I didn’t vote this week either. Probably would have gone for 8. Huddy’s extension for a very reasonable salary just makes me a happy guy.
Now, onto trading Lowe (even though I like him) and getting some power in the lineup.
Sparhawk - November 30, 2009
Why is our confidence so high?
I say one of the main reasons is we are fully expecting FW to pull the trigger this off season on 2 or 3 deals, maybe even 4 deals, to bring in new players who should have an impact and dramatically increase our competitiveness.
I know that my confidence will plunge if this does not happen.
fandave - November 30, 2009
Mine is high because this team is good, the management is good, and the future is bright – with or without a power bat this season.
justincredubil02 - November 30, 2009
That's funny, I am confident because I don't think we will make huge moves...
…and I expect the confidence of others to plumment, fwiw. I would be very happy if the Braves did the following this off-season:
1. Sign a 1B for a year or two—-preferably in the LaRoche/Delgado range.
2. Sign Mike Cameron to a 1-2 year deal.
3. Trade Lowe for a B prospect or two. (need the salary)
4. Sign 3-4 live arms for the bullpen. If Wanger is not offered arbitration, I am fine with him headlining; otherwise, just live arms like Calero, etc.
5. Use the money saved from the lower payroll to take the best available players with our ton of 1st and 2nd round draft picks, preferably with an emphasis on position players, and restock the farm system.
I think those steps should lead to us being very competitive. And we would have payroll flexibility and an extra outfielder to deal at the deadline for whatever needs we have. (The extra OF is from Heyward taking one of the spots.)
cavebird - November 30, 2009
I Calero available? I didn’t realize he was…I would LOVE for that arm to be in our pen. That dude is just NASTY.
justincredubil02 - November 30, 2009
Funny? I didn’t say anything about “huge” moves, although if one that made sense materalized (and it may), then I expect FW would duly weigh it.
Generally, I’m in agreement on your 1-5 and that 1-4 (or at least 2 or 3 such moves) would put us in a very competative position for a strong run next season. But if at least 2 or 3 such moves don’t happen, which we seemingly all think they will, it will be really disappointing – that was my point, if not clear before.
fandave - November 30, 2009
Gondee - as far as margin of error is concerned:
here is a useful site to calculate your margin of error.
For your population, enter the number of members of this site.
For your sample size, enter the number of votes.
I hope this is what you’re looking for!
Margin of Error Calculator
Jareth Cutestory - November 30, 2009
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